QPR at Derby County

Updated

Queens Park Rangers

35.6%28.0%36.5%
QPR WinDrawDerby County Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Queens Park Rangers
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 0-2 vs Luton Town+130
T 1-1 at Blackpool+150
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+170
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+110
Derby County
Money Line
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+415
T 1-1 at Millwall+325
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
QPR+125+150+160+165+151+160+165+166.5
Derby County+215+180+185+190+180+185+190+204.5
Draw+240+230+220+232+228+220+232+237.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
QPR+150---+155+155+155+166.5
Derby County+190---+150+185+185+204.5
Draw+225---+200+225+225+237.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

QPR ML moved from +176 to +164
Derby County ML moved from +174 to +168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

QPR ML moved from +175 to +160
Derby County ML moved from +170 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+115o2¼-105o2½+125-o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼+103
Underu2½-125u2½-140u2¼-115u2½-140-u2¼-115u2½-140u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.50%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 412.15%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.36%
Exactly 320.65%
Exactly 55.72%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 031.28%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.12%
Exactly 38.18%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 030.38%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 38.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.63%
Exactly 219.97%
Exactly 41.98%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 058.39%
Exactly 131.42%
Exactly 28.45%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 057.60%
Exactly 131.78%
Exactly 28.76%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 2+ goals14.60%
Wins by 3+ goals4.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals15.51%
Wins by 3+ goals5.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 1 goal20.67%
Wins by 2 goals9.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal21.19%
Wins by 2 goals10.45%
Wins by 3 goals3.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.50%9.50%
1.568.13%31.87%
2.541.81%58.19%
3.521.16%78.84%
4.59.01%90.99%
5.53.30%96.70%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Queens Park Rangers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.72%31.28%
1.532.36%67.64%
2.511.24%88.76%
3.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.62%30.38%
1.533.43%66.57%
2.511.87%88.13%
3.53.30%96.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.37%33.63%
1.529.72%70.28%
2.59.75%90.25%
3.52.50%97.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

QPR
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.50%
11.32%
6.75%
2.68%
0.80%
0.19%
1
11.04%
13.16%
7.84%
3.11%
0.93%
0.22%
2
6.42%
7.65%
4.55%
1.81%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.49%
2.96%
1.76%
0.70%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.72%
0.86%
0.51%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Queens Park Rangers
1-011.04%
2-06.42%
2-17.65%
3-02.49%
3-12.96%
3-21.76%
4-00.72%
4-10.86%
4-20.51%
4-30.20%
5-00.17%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.50%
1-113.16%
2-24.55%
3-30.70%
Derby County
0-111.32%
0-26.75%
1-27.84%
0-32.68%
1-33.11%
2-31.81%
0-40.80%
1-40.93%
2-40.54%
3-40.21%
0-50.19%
1-50.22%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

QPR
Derby County
Score01234
0
33.63%
18.55%
5.12%
0.94%
0.13%
1
18.10%
9.98%
2.75%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.87%
2.69%
0.74%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.87%
0.48%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Queens Park Rangers
1-018.10%
2-04.87%
2-12.69%
3-00.87%
3-10.48%
3-20.13%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.63%
1-19.98%
2-20.74%
Derby County
0-118.55%
0-25.12%
1-22.75%
0-30.94%
1-30.51%
2-30.14%
0-40.13%