QPR at Derby County

Updated

Queens Park Rangers

35.6%28.0%36.5%
QPR WinDrawDerby County Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Queens Park Rangers
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 0-2 vs Luton Town+130
T 1-1 at Blackpool+150
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+170
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+110
Derby County
Money Line
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+415
T 1-1 at Millwall+325
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
QPR+125+150+160+165+151+160+165+166.5
Derby County+215+180+185+190+180+185+190+204.5
Draw+240+230+220+232+228+220+232+237.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
QPR+150---+155+155+155+166.5
Derby County+190---+150+185+185+204.5
Draw+225---+200+225+225+237.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

QPR: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

QPR ML moved from +176 to +164
Derby County ML moved from +174 to +168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

QPR: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

QPR: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

QPR ML moved from +175 to +160
Derby County ML moved from +170 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+115o2¼-105o2½+125-o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼+103
Underu2½-125u2½-140u2¼-115u2½-140-u2¼-115u2½-140u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.50%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 412.15%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.36%
Exactly 320.65%
Exactly 55.72%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 031.28%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.12%
Exactly 38.18%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 030.38%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 38.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.63%
Exactly 219.97%
Exactly 41.98%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 058.39%
Exactly 131.42%
Exactly 28.45%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 057.60%
Exactly 131.78%
Exactly 28.76%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 2+ goals14.60%
Wins by 3+ goals4.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals15.51%
Wins by 3+ goals5.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 1 goal20.67%
Wins by 2 goals9.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal21.19%
Wins by 2 goals10.45%
Wins by 3 goals3.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.50%9.50%
1.568.13%31.87%
2.541.81%58.19%
3.521.16%78.84%
4.59.01%90.99%
5.53.30%96.70%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Queens Park Rangers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.72%31.28%
1.532.36%67.64%
2.511.24%88.76%
3.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.62%30.38%
1.533.43%66.57%
2.511.87%88.13%
3.53.30%96.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.37%33.63%
1.529.72%70.28%
2.59.75%90.25%
3.52.50%97.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

QPR
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.50%
11.32%
6.75%
2.68%
0.80%
0.19%
1
11.04%
13.16%
7.84%
3.11%
0.93%
0.22%
2
6.42%
7.65%
4.55%
1.81%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.49%
2.96%
1.76%
0.70%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.72%
0.86%
0.51%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Queens Park Rangers
1-011.04%
2-06.42%
2-17.65%
3-02.49%
3-12.96%
3-21.76%
4-00.72%
4-10.86%
4-20.51%
4-30.20%
5-00.17%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.50%
1-113.16%
2-24.55%
3-30.70%
Derby County
0-111.32%
0-26.75%
1-27.84%
0-32.68%
1-33.11%
2-31.81%
0-40.80%
1-40.93%
2-40.54%
3-40.21%
0-50.19%
1-50.22%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

QPR
Derby County
Score01234
0
33.63%
18.55%
5.12%
0.94%
0.13%
1
18.10%
9.98%
2.75%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.87%
2.69%
0.74%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.87%
0.48%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Queens Park Rangers
1-018.10%
2-04.87%
2-12.69%
3-00.87%
3-10.48%
3-20.13%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.63%
1-19.98%
2-20.74%
Derby County
0-118.55%
0-25.12%
1-22.75%
0-30.94%
1-30.51%
2-30.14%
0-40.13%
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