Derby County at Reading

Updated

Derby County

26.9%24.4%48.7%
Derby County WinDrawReading Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.66
2Final Score 2

Reading

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 2-1 at Stoke City+460
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
W 0-1 vs Blackpool+160
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+185
Reading
Money Line
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+725
T 1-1 vs Hull City+155
W 3-2 at Swansea City+375
L 1-0 vs Sheffield United+275
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+204+190+180+191+182+180+191+205.2
Reading+136+150+170+168+156+170+170+170.2
Draw+225+215+212+225+218+212+225+230.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+250---+190+180+190+205.2
Reading+120---+115+165+165+170.2
Draw+220---+210+210+210+230.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +189 to +182
Reading ML moved from +157 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +205 to +180
No Steam Moves On Reading ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-148o2-132o2¼+108o2-131-o2¼+108o2-131o2¼+114
Underu2+122u2+111u2¼-128u2+116-u2¼-128u2¼-128u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.59%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 413.97%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.58%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 039.97%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.80%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 019.00%
Exactly 131.55%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 314.50%
Exactly 46.02%
Exactly 52.00%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.32%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 065.41%
Exactly 127.77%
Exactly 25.89%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 046.35%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 213.70%
Exactly 33.51%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.89%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Reading
Wins by 2+ goals29.87%
Wins by 3+ goals12.96%
Wins by 4+ goals4.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Reading
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.80%
Wins by 2 goals5.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Reading
Wins by 1 goal24.99%
Wins by 2 goals16.91%
Wins by 3 goals8.37%
Wins by 4 goals3.24%
Wins by 5 goals1.02%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.41%7.59%
1.572.83%27.17%
2.547.60%52.40%
3.525.92%74.08%
4.511.94%88.06%
5.54.74%95.26%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.03%39.97%
1.523.37%76.63%
2.56.57%93.43%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.00%19.00%
1.549.45%50.55%
2.523.25%76.75%
3.58.74%91.26%
4.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.68%30.32%
1.533.50%66.50%
2.511.91%88.09%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Reading
Score012345
0
7.59%
12.61%
10.47%
5.80%
2.41%
0.80%
1
6.96%
11.57%
9.60%
5.32%
2.21%
0.73%
2
3.19%
5.30%
4.40%
2.44%
1.01%
0.34%
3
0.98%
1.62%
1.35%
0.75%
0.31%
0.10%
4
0.22%
0.37%
0.31%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.96%
2-03.19%
2-15.30%
3-00.98%
3-11.62%
3-21.35%
4-00.22%
4-10.37%
4-20.31%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.59%
1-111.57%
2-24.40%
3-30.75%
Reading
0-112.61%
0-210.47%
1-29.60%
0-35.80%
1-35.32%
2-32.44%
0-42.41%
1-42.21%
2-41.01%
3-40.31%
0-50.80%
1-50.73%
2-50.34%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Reading
Score01234
0
30.32%
23.31%
8.96%
2.30%
0.44%
1
12.87%
9.90%
3.80%
0.98%
0.19%
2
2.73%
2.10%
0.81%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.39%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-012.87%
2-02.73%
2-12.10%
3-00.39%
3-10.30%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.32%
1-19.90%
2-20.81%
Reading
0-123.31%
0-28.96%
1-23.80%
0-32.30%
1-30.98%
2-30.21%
0-40.44%
1-40.19%