Derby County at Reading

Updated

Derby County

26.9%24.4%48.7%
Derby County WinDrawReading Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.66
2Final Score 2

Reading

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 2-1 at Stoke City+460
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
W 0-1 vs Blackpool+160
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+185
Reading
Money Line
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+725
T 1-1 vs Hull City+155
W 3-2 at Swansea City+375
L 1-0 vs Sheffield United+275
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+204+190+180+191+182+180+191+205.2
Reading+136+150+170+168+156+170+170+170.2
Draw+225+215+212+225+218+212+225+230.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+250---+190+180+190+205.2
Reading+120---+115+165+165+170.2
Draw+220---+210+210+210+230.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +189 to +182
Reading ML moved from +157 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +205 to +180
No Steam Moves On Reading ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-148o2-132o2¼+108o2-131-o2¼+108o2-131o2¼+114
Underu2+122u2+111u2¼-128u2+116-u2¼-128u2¼-128u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.59%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 413.97%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.58%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 039.97%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.80%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 019.00%
Exactly 131.55%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 314.50%
Exactly 46.02%
Exactly 52.00%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.32%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 065.41%
Exactly 127.77%
Exactly 25.89%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 046.35%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 213.70%
Exactly 33.51%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.89%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Reading
Wins by 2+ goals29.87%
Wins by 3+ goals12.96%
Wins by 4+ goals4.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Reading
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.80%
Wins by 2 goals5.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Reading
Wins by 1 goal24.99%
Wins by 2 goals16.91%
Wins by 3 goals8.37%
Wins by 4 goals3.24%
Wins by 5 goals1.02%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.41%7.59%
1.572.83%27.17%
2.547.60%52.40%
3.525.92%74.08%
4.511.94%88.06%
5.54.74%95.26%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.03%39.97%
1.523.37%76.63%
2.56.57%93.43%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.00%19.00%
1.549.45%50.55%
2.523.25%76.75%
3.58.74%91.26%
4.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.68%30.32%
1.533.50%66.50%
2.511.91%88.09%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Reading
Score012345
0
7.59%
12.61%
10.47%
5.80%
2.41%
0.80%
1
6.96%
11.57%
9.60%
5.32%
2.21%
0.73%
2
3.19%
5.30%
4.40%
2.44%
1.01%
0.34%
3
0.98%
1.62%
1.35%
0.75%
0.31%
0.10%
4
0.22%
0.37%
0.31%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.96%
2-03.19%
2-15.30%
3-00.98%
3-11.62%
3-21.35%
4-00.22%
4-10.37%
4-20.31%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.59%
1-111.57%
2-24.40%
3-30.75%
Reading
0-112.61%
0-210.47%
1-29.60%
0-35.80%
1-35.32%
2-32.44%
0-42.41%
1-42.21%
2-41.01%
3-40.31%
0-50.80%
1-50.73%
2-50.34%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Reading
Score01234
0
30.32%
23.31%
8.96%
2.30%
0.44%
1
12.87%
9.90%
3.80%
0.98%
0.19%
2
2.73%
2.10%
0.81%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.39%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-012.87%
2-02.73%
2-12.10%
3-00.39%
3-10.30%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.32%
1-19.90%
2-20.81%
Reading
0-123.31%
0-28.96%
1-23.80%
0-32.30%
1-30.98%
2-30.21%
0-40.44%
1-40.19%
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