West Brom at Derby County

Updated

West Bromwich Albion

57.5%20.4%22.1%
West Brom WinDrawDerby County Win
1.99Projected Goals 0.76
0Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

West Bromwich Albion
Money Line
T 0-0 at Barnsley-155
W 0-1 vs Reading-250
W 2-1 at Coventry City+140
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest-160
T 0-0 at Blackpool-110
Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Blackpool+160
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+185
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+415

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
West Brom-115-170-170-164-179-170-164-153.3
Derby County+320+500+565+589+537+565+589+612.6
Draw+245+270+275+280+282+275+282+292.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
West Brom-115----210-185-185-153.3
Derby County+365---+495+575+575+612.6
Draw+230---+255+290+290+292.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

West Brom ML moved from -170 to -176
Derby County ML moved from +525 to +500

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

West Brom ML moved from -195 to -210
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2-143o2¼-105o2-137-o2¼-105o2-137o2¼+111
Underu2½-130u2+118u2¼-115u2+122-u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+111
Under-----u2¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-140 to o2½+122
The Under moved from u2½-143 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.39%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 415.24%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.57%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.39%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 013.69%
Exactly 127.23%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.94%
Exactly 48.92%
Exactly 53.55%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 046.64%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 213.57%
Exactly 33.45%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.98%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 039.83%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.88%
Exactly 35.18%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 070.25%
Exactly 124.81%
Exactly 24.38%
Exactly 30.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals40.93%
Wins by 3+ goals20.59%
Wins by 4+ goals8.53%
Wins by 5+ goals2.94%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals3.80%
Wins by 3+ goals0.81%

Exact Winning Margin

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal25.09%
Wins by 2 goals20.34%
Wins by 3 goals12.06%
Wins by 4 goals5.59%
Wins by 5 goals2.12%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal9.63%
Wins by 2 goals2.99%
Wins by 3 goals0.68%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.61%6.39%
1.576.04%23.96%
2.551.88%48.12%
3.529.72%70.28%
4.514.48%85.52%
5.56.09%93.91%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.31%13.69%
1.559.08%40.92%
2.532.01%67.99%
3.514.07%85.93%
4.55.16%94.84%
5.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.36%46.64%
1.517.79%82.21%
2.54.22%95.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.02%27.98%
1.536.38%63.62%
2.513.69%86.31%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

West Brom
Derby County
Score0123
0
6.39%
4.87%
1.86%
0.47%
1
12.70%
9.69%
3.69%
0.94%
2
12.62%
9.63%
3.67%
0.93%
3
8.37%
6.38%
2.43%
0.62%
4
4.16%
3.17%
1.21%
0.31%
5
1.65%
1.26%
0.48%
0.12%
West Bromwich Albion
1-012.70%
2-012.62%
2-19.63%
3-08.37%
3-16.38%
3-22.43%
4-04.16%
4-13.17%
4-21.21%
4-30.31%
5-01.65%
5-11.26%
5-20.48%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.39%
1-19.69%
2-23.67%
3-30.62%
Derby County
0-14.87%
0-21.86%
1-23.69%
0-30.47%
1-30.94%
2-30.93%

Correct Score - First Half

West Brom
Derby County
Score0123
0
27.98%
9.88%
1.74%
0.21%
1
25.76%
9.10%
1.61%
0.19%
2
11.85%
4.19%
0.74%
0.09%
3
3.64%
1.28%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.84%
0.30%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
West Bromwich Albion
1-025.76%
2-011.85%
2-14.19%
3-03.64%
3-11.28%
3-20.23%
4-00.84%
4-10.30%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-027.98%
1-19.10%
2-20.74%
Derby County
0-19.88%
0-21.74%
1-21.61%
0-30.21%
1-30.19%