Derby County at Stoke City

Updated

Derby County

22.4%21.4%56.2%
Derby County WinDrawStoke City Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.90
2Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
W 0-1 vs Blackpool+160
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+185
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
Stoke City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Middlesbrough+165
W 2-0 at Queens Park Rangers+215
L 1-0 vs Blackburn+120
L 0-1 at Bristol City+120
W 0-2 vs Peterborough United-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+360+400+440+476+420+440+476+496.8
Stoke City-139-136-140-132-136-140-132-126.8
Draw+275+240+255+246+243+255+255+265.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+410---+400+460+460+496.8
Stoke City-140----155-150-150-126.8
Draw+265---+210+265+265+265.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +488 to +471
Stoke City ML moved from -133 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +425 to +400
Stoke City ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2-112o2-102o2-107-o2-102o2-102o2-102
Underu2½-102u2-108u2-118u2-108-u2-118u2-108u2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-102
Under-----u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-140 to u2+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.03%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 414.55%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.67%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.72%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 046.96%
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 213.41%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 014.98%
Exactly 128.44%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 317.08%
Exactly 48.11%
Exactly 53.08%
Exactly 60.97%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.26%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.05%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 070.47%
Exactly 124.66%
Exactly 24.32%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 041.52%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.04%
Exactly 34.70%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals3.93%
Wins by 3+ goals0.78%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals38.83%
Wins by 3+ goals18.89%
Wins by 4+ goals7.54%
Wins by 5+ goals2.50%
Wins by 6+ goals0.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Stoke City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal10.15%
Wins by 2 goals3.14%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal25.52%
Wins by 2 goals19.94%
Wins by 3 goals11.35%
Wins by 4 goals5.04%
Wins by 5 goals1.83%
Wins by 6 goals0.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.97%7.03%
1.574.30%25.70%
2.549.51%50.49%
3.527.59%72.41%
4.513.04%86.96%
5.55.31%94.69%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.04%46.96%
1.517.54%82.46%
2.54.13%95.87%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.02%14.98%
1.556.58%43.42%
2.529.59%70.41%
3.512.51%87.49%
4.54.40%95.60%
5.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.74%29.26%
1.534.78%65.22%
2.512.69%87.31%
3.53.63%96.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Stoke City
Score012345
0
7.03%
13.35%
12.68%
8.02%
3.81%
1.45%
1
5.32%
10.09%
9.58%
6.06%
2.88%
1.09%
2
2.01%
3.81%
3.62%
2.29%
1.09%
0.41%
3
0.51%
0.96%
0.91%
0.58%
0.27%
0.10%
Derby County
1-05.32%
2-02.01%
2-13.81%
3-00.51%
3-10.96%
3-20.91%
Draw
0-07.03%
1-110.09%
2-23.62%
3-30.58%
Stoke City
0-113.35%
0-212.68%
1-29.58%
0-38.02%
1-36.06%
2-32.29%
0-43.81%
1-42.88%
2-41.09%
3-40.27%
0-51.45%
1-51.09%
2-50.41%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Stoke City
Score012345
0
29.26%
25.72%
11.30%
3.31%
0.73%
0.13%
1
10.24%
9.00%
3.96%
1.16%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.79%
1.57%
0.69%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-010.24%
2-01.79%
2-11.57%
3-00.21%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-029.26%
1-19.00%
2-20.69%
Stoke City
0-125.72%
0-211.30%
1-23.96%
0-33.31%
1-31.16%
2-30.20%
0-40.73%
1-40.25%
0-50.13%
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