Middlesbrough at Stoke City

Updated

Middlesbrough

25.6%23.9%50.4%
Middlesbrough WinDrawStoke City Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.70
0Final Score 0

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Swansea City-105
W 2-1 at Huddersfield+160
L 2-1 vs Preston North End+125
T 1-1 vs Millwall+120
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+430
Stoke City
Money Line
W 2-0 at Queens Park Rangers+215
L 1-0 vs Blackburn+120
L 0-1 at Bristol City+120
W 0-2 vs Peterborough United-165
W 1-0 at Luton Town+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+240+185+163+193+184+163+193+199.0
Stoke City+115+160+158+167+162+158+167+177.4
Draw+225+210+220+217+206+220+220+227.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+240---+215+185+215+199.0
Stoke City+130---+110+165+165+177.4
Draw+210---+200+210+210+227.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Stoke City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +182 to +171
Stoke City ML moved from +173 to +167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 60.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +200 to +175
Stoke City ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-143o2¼-110o2-145-o2¼-110o2-143o2¼+100
Underu2½-143u2+118u2¼-110u2+130-u2¼-110u2¼-110u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-148 to o2½+115
The Under moved from u2½-140 to u2+122

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.72%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 413.85%
Exactly 63.03%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.77%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.10%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 042.18%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.72%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 018.29%
Exactly 131.07%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 314.94%
Exactly 46.35%
Exactly 52.16%
Exactly 60.61%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.54%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.50%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 067.05%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 25.36%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 045.54%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 214.09%
Exactly 33.69%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals6.00%
Wins by 3+ goals1.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals31.75%
Wins by 3+ goals14.08%
Wins by 4+ goals5.09%
Wins by 5+ goals1.53%
Wins by 6+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal12.89%
Wins by 2 goals4.56%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal25.37%
Wins by 2 goals17.67%
Wins by 3 goals8.98%
Wins by 4 goals3.56%
Wins by 5 goals1.16%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.28%7.72%
1.572.52%27.48%
2.547.20%52.80%
3.525.58%74.42%
4.511.73%88.27%
5.54.63%95.37%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.82%42.18%
1.521.41%78.59%
2.55.69%94.31%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.71%18.29%
1.550.64%49.36%
2.524.25%75.75%
3.59.30%90.70%
4.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.46%30.54%
1.533.24%66.76%
2.511.75%88.25%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Score012345
0
7.72%
13.11%
11.13%
6.30%
2.68%
0.91%
1
6.66%
11.31%
9.61%
5.44%
2.31%
0.79%
2
2.87%
4.88%
4.15%
2.35%
1.00%
0.34%
3
0.83%
1.41%
1.19%
0.68%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.18%
0.30%
0.26%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Middlesbrough
1-06.66%
2-02.87%
2-14.88%
3-00.83%
3-11.41%
3-21.19%
4-00.18%
4-10.30%
4-20.26%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-07.72%
1-111.31%
2-24.15%
3-30.68%
Stoke City
0-113.11%
0-211.13%
1-29.61%
0-36.30%
1-35.44%
2-32.35%
0-42.68%
1-42.31%
2-41.00%
3-40.29%
0-50.91%
1-50.79%
2-50.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Score01234
0
30.54%
24.02%
9.45%
2.48%
0.49%
1
12.21%
9.60%
3.78%
0.99%
0.19%
2
2.44%
1.92%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.32%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Middlesbrough
1-012.21%
2-02.44%
2-11.92%
3-00.32%
3-10.26%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-030.54%
1-19.60%
2-20.75%
Stoke City
0-124.02%
0-29.45%
1-23.78%
0-32.48%
1-30.99%
2-30.20%
0-40.49%
1-40.19%
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