Stoke City at Luton Town

Updated

Stoke City

34.0%28.6%37.4%
Stoke City WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.19
1Final Score 0

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Blackpool+125
T 3-3 vs Cardiff City-120
L 1-2 at Millwall+195
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+175
L 1-2 at Sheffield United+245
Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough+130
L 0-2 at Preston North End+195
W 0-1 vs Hull City-120
T 2-2 at Derby County+155
W 2-0 at Millwall+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210+210+210+218+206+205+218+226.4
Luton Town+131+145+142+151+143+147+151+157.6
Draw+228+210+215+219+211+215+219+227.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210---+190+215+215+226.4
Luton Town+140---+130+145+145+157.6
Draw+220---+190+210+210+227.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +215 to +205
Luton Town ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-140o2¼+100o2¼+106-o2¼+100o2¼+106o2¼+112
Underu2½-143u2+115u2¼-120u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.36%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 411.40%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.49%
Exactly 320.12%
Exactly 55.17%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 033.95%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.81%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 41.93%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 030.53%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 221.49%
Exactly 38.50%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.01%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 060.65%
Exactly 130.33%
Exactly 27.58%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 057.73%
Exactly 131.72%
Exactly 28.71%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.91%
Wins by 3+ goals3.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals16.28%
Wins by 3+ goals5.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal20.08%
Wins by 2 goals9.08%
Wins by 3 goals2.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal22.06%
Wins by 2 goals10.96%
Wins by 3 goals3.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.64%10.36%
1.566.14%33.86%
2.539.51%60.49%
3.519.39%80.61%
4.57.99%92.01%
5.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.05%33.95%
1.529.37%70.63%
2.59.56%90.44%
3.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.47%30.53%
1.533.25%66.75%
2.511.76%88.24%
3.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.99%35.01%
1.528.25%71.75%
2.58.96%91.04%
3.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
10.36%
12.30%
7.30%
2.89%
0.86%
0.20%
1
11.20%
13.28%
7.88%
3.12%
0.92%
0.22%
2
6.05%
7.17%
4.26%
1.68%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.18%
2.58%
1.53%
0.61%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.59%
0.70%
0.41%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-011.20%
2-06.05%
2-17.17%
3-02.18%
3-12.58%
3-21.53%
4-00.59%
4-10.70%
4-20.41%
4-30.16%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.36%
1-113.28%
2-24.26%
3-30.61%
Luton Town
0-112.30%
0-27.30%
1-27.88%
0-32.89%
1-33.12%
2-31.68%
0-40.86%
1-40.92%
2-40.50%
3-40.18%
0-50.20%
1-50.22%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
35.01%
19.24%
5.28%
0.97%
0.13%
1
17.51%
9.62%
2.64%
0.48%
0.07%
2
4.38%
2.41%
0.66%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.73%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-017.51%
2-04.38%
2-12.41%
3-00.73%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-035.01%
1-19.62%
2-20.66%
Luton Town
0-119.24%
0-25.28%
1-22.64%
0-30.97%
1-30.48%
2-30.12%
0-40.13%