Stoke City at Luton Town

Updated

Stoke City

34.0%28.6%37.4%
Stoke City WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.19
1Final Score 0

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Blackpool+125
T 3-3 vs Cardiff City-120
L 1-2 at Millwall+195
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+175
L 1-2 at Sheffield United+245
Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough+130
L 0-2 at Preston North End+195
W 0-1 vs Hull City-120
T 2-2 at Derby County+155
W 2-0 at Millwall+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210+210+210+218+206+205+218+226.4
Luton Town+131+145+142+151+143+147+151+157.6
Draw+228+210+215+219+211+215+219+227.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210---+190+215+215+226.4
Luton Town+140---+130+145+145+157.6
Draw+220---+190+210+210+227.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +215 to +205
Luton Town ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-140o2¼+100o2¼+106-o2¼+100o2¼+106o2¼+112
Underu2½-143u2+115u2¼-120u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.36%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 411.40%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.49%
Exactly 320.12%
Exactly 55.17%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 033.95%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.81%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 41.93%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 030.53%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 221.49%
Exactly 38.50%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.01%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 060.65%
Exactly 130.33%
Exactly 27.58%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 057.73%
Exactly 131.72%
Exactly 28.71%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.91%
Wins by 3+ goals3.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals16.28%
Wins by 3+ goals5.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal20.08%
Wins by 2 goals9.08%
Wins by 3 goals2.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal22.06%
Wins by 2 goals10.96%
Wins by 3 goals3.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.64%10.36%
1.566.14%33.86%
2.539.51%60.49%
3.519.39%80.61%
4.57.99%92.01%
5.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.05%33.95%
1.529.37%70.63%
2.59.56%90.44%
3.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.47%30.53%
1.533.25%66.75%
2.511.76%88.24%
3.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.99%35.01%
1.528.25%71.75%
2.58.96%91.04%
3.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
10.36%
12.30%
7.30%
2.89%
0.86%
0.20%
1
11.20%
13.28%
7.88%
3.12%
0.92%
0.22%
2
6.05%
7.17%
4.26%
1.68%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.18%
2.58%
1.53%
0.61%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.59%
0.70%
0.41%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-011.20%
2-06.05%
2-17.17%
3-02.18%
3-12.58%
3-21.53%
4-00.59%
4-10.70%
4-20.41%
4-30.16%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.36%
1-113.28%
2-24.26%
3-30.61%
Luton Town
0-112.30%
0-27.30%
1-27.88%
0-32.89%
1-33.12%
2-31.68%
0-40.86%
1-40.92%
2-40.50%
3-40.18%
0-50.20%
1-50.22%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
35.01%
19.24%
5.28%
0.97%
0.13%
1
17.51%
9.62%
2.64%
0.48%
0.07%
2
4.38%
2.41%
0.66%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.73%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-017.51%
2-04.38%
2-12.41%
3-00.73%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-035.01%
1-19.62%
2-20.66%
Luton Town
0-119.24%
0-25.28%
1-22.64%
0-30.97%
1-30.48%
2-30.12%
0-40.13%
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