Cardiff City at Stoke City

Updated

Cardiff City

31.9%26.9%41.2%
Cardiff City WinDrawStoke City Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.38
3Final Score 3

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Middlesbrough+150
L 0-2 at Fulham+660
L 0-3 at Swansea City+230
L 1-0 vs Reading+100
L 4-0 vs West Bromwich Albion+300
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Millwall+195
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+175
L 1-2 at Sheffield United+245
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+260
T 1-1 at Preston North End+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+295+350+370+399+380+370+399+412.9
Stoke City-110-125-126-130-129-126-125-121.6
Draw+240+260+255+279+248+255+279+290.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+300---+275+360+360+412.9
Stoke City-105----120-125-120-121.6
Draw+245---+220+260+260+290.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 40.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +360 to +350
Stoke City ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 40.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML
Stoke City ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½+102o2½-107o2½-101-o2½-107o2½+102o2½+105
Underu2½-118u2½-122u2½-113u2½-111-u2½-113u2½-111u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+105
Under-----u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.59%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 412.99%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.08%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 56.38%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 034.26%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 025.07%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 311.07%
Exactly 43.83%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.09%
Exactly 220.73%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 060.90%
Exactly 130.20%
Exactly 27.49%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 052.70%
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 210.81%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals11.08%
Wins by 3+ goals3.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals20.82%
Wins by 3+ goals7.71%
Wins by 4+ goals2.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal17.92%
Wins by 2 goals7.86%
Wins by 3 goals2.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal23.15%
Wins by 2 goals13.11%
Wins by 3 goals5.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.41%8.59%
1.570.33%29.67%
2.544.45%55.55%
3.523.28%76.72%
4.510.29%89.71%
5.53.91%96.09%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.74%34.26%
1.529.04%70.96%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.93%25.07%
1.540.25%59.75%
2.516.26%83.74%
3.55.19%94.81%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.91%32.09%
1.531.43%68.57%
2.510.71%89.29%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Stoke City
Score012345
0
8.59%
11.88%
8.22%
3.79%
1.31%
0.36%
1
9.20%
12.73%
8.81%
4.06%
1.40%
0.39%
2
4.93%
6.82%
4.72%
2.18%
0.75%
0.21%
3
1.76%
2.43%
1.68%
0.78%
0.27%
0.07%
4
0.47%
0.65%
0.45%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.10%
0.14%
0.10%
0.04%
0.02%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-09.20%
2-04.93%
2-16.82%
3-01.76%
3-12.43%
3-21.68%
4-00.47%
4-10.65%
4-20.45%
4-30.21%
5-00.10%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-08.59%
1-112.73%
2-24.72%
3-30.78%
Stoke City
0-111.88%
0-28.22%
1-28.81%
0-33.79%
1-34.06%
2-32.18%
0-41.31%
1-41.40%
2-40.75%
3-40.27%
0-50.36%
1-50.39%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
32.09%
20.56%
6.59%
1.41%
0.23%
1
15.92%
10.20%
3.27%
0.70%
0.11%
2
3.95%
2.53%
0.81%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.65%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-015.92%
2-03.95%
2-12.53%
3-00.65%
3-10.42%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.09%
1-110.20%
2-20.81%
Stoke City
0-120.56%
0-26.59%
1-23.27%
0-31.41%
1-30.70%
2-30.17%
0-40.23%
1-40.11%
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