Derby County at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Derby County

26.4%26.4%47.2%
Derby County WinDrawNott'ham Forest Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.48
1Final Score 2

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United+275
T 2-2 at Reading+190
W 2-1 at Stoke City+460
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
W 0-1 vs Blackpool+160
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 1-0 at Millwall+215
L 1-0 vs Huddersfield+110
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+340
W 1-2 vs Hull City-110
W 4-1 at Swansea City+275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+310+360+300+387+356+340+387+388.6
Nott'ham Forest-110-115-110-108-116-119-108-101.0
Draw+230+225+210+230+229+215+230+241.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+320---+300+355+355+388.6
Nott'ham Forest+100----125-110-110-101.0
Draw+220---+210+225+225+241.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 20.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +360 to +350
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from -106 to -113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 20.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-108o2-121o2-114-o2-121o2-108o2-107
Underu2+115u2-112u2+101u2-101-u2+101u2+101u2+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-107
Under-----u2+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.91%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 411.79%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.91%
Exactly 320.40%
Exactly 55.45%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 043.62%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.01%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 022.72%
Exactly 133.67%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 312.32%
Exactly 44.56%
Exactly 51.35%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.29%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 41.87%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 068.10%
Exactly 126.16%
Exactly 25.02%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 050.36%
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 211.85%
Exactly 32.71%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.59%
Wins by 3+ goals1.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals26.72%
Wins by 3+ goals10.63%
Wins by 4+ goals3.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.86%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Nottingham Forest
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal14.43%
Wins by 2 goals5.04%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal25.77%
Wins by 2 goals16.09%
Wins by 3 goals7.24%
Wins by 4 goals2.53%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.09%9.91%
1.567.18%32.82%
2.540.70%59.30%
3.520.30%79.70%
4.58.51%91.49%
5.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.38%43.62%
1.520.19%79.81%
2.55.18%94.82%
3.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.28%22.72%
1.543.61%56.39%
2.518.66%81.34%
3.56.34%93.66%
4.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.71%34.29%
1.529.00%71.00%
2.59.37%90.63%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Nottingham Forest
Score012345
0
9.91%
14.69%
10.88%
5.37%
1.99%
0.59%
1
8.22%
12.19%
9.03%
4.46%
1.65%
0.49%
2
3.41%
5.05%
3.74%
1.85%
0.69%
0.20%
3
0.94%
1.40%
1.04%
0.51%
0.19%
0.06%
4
0.20%
0.29%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Derby County
1-08.22%
2-03.41%
2-15.05%
3-00.94%
3-11.40%
3-21.04%
4-00.20%
4-10.29%
4-20.21%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-09.91%
1-112.19%
2-23.74%
3-30.51%
Nottingham Forest
0-114.69%
0-210.88%
1-29.03%
0-35.37%
1-34.46%
2-31.85%
0-41.99%
1-41.65%
2-40.69%
3-40.19%
0-50.59%
1-50.49%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
34.29%
23.53%
8.07%
1.85%
0.32%
1
13.17%
9.04%
3.10%
0.71%
0.12%
2
2.53%
1.74%
0.60%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.32%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-013.17%
2-02.53%
2-11.74%
3-00.32%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-034.29%
1-19.04%
2-20.60%
Nottingham Forest
0-123.53%
0-28.07%
1-23.10%
0-31.85%
1-30.71%
2-30.14%
0-40.32%
1-40.12%
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