Luton Town at Stoke City

Updated

Luton Town

17.3%22.5%60.2%
WinDrawStoke City Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.83
2Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
W 0-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+230
L 0-3 at Birmingham City+150
W 1-2 vs Barnsley-175
W 1-0 at Swansea City+270
T 0-0 vs Blackburn+145
Stoke City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Birmingham City-125
T 2-2 at Nottingham Forest+275
W 0-3 vs Swansea City+110
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+220
L 0-1 at Coventry City+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+245+275+230+301+280+230+301+297.9
Stoke City+115+110+113+110+107+113+113+119.3
Draw+220+205+225+234+218+225+234+241.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+290---+250+280+280+297.9
Stoke City+110----110+110+110+119.3
Draw+215---+215+220+220+241.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Stoke City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +285 to +275
Stoke City ML moved from +117 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Stoke City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +290 to +280
Stoke City ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2¼-105o2¼-107o2-142-o2¼-107o2-142o2¼+104
Underu2¼-108u2¼-115u2¼-113u2+127-u2¼-113u2¼-113u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 414.80%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.28%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.96%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 042.25%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.68%
Exactly 34.50%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 016.09%
Exactly 129.40%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.35%
Exactly 47.47%
Exactly 52.73%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.80%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 067.11%
Exactly 126.77%
Exactly 25.34%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 042.92%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.35%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals5.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals35.00%
Wins by 3+ goals16.40%
Wins by 4+ goals6.30%
Wins by 5+ goals2.01%
Wins by 6+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal11.85%
Wins by 2 goals4.13%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal25.12%
Wins by 2 goals18.60%
Wins by 3 goals10.10%
Wins by 4 goals4.29%
Wins by 5 goals1.49%
Wins by 6 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.92%25.08%
2.550.35%49.65%
3.528.33%71.67%
4.513.54%86.46%
5.55.58%94.42%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.75%42.25%
1.521.34%78.66%
2.55.67%94.33%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.91%16.09%
1.554.51%45.49%
2.527.66%72.34%
3.511.31%88.69%
4.53.84%96.16%
5.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.20%28.80%
1.535.35%64.65%
2.513.04%86.96%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Stoke City
Score012345
0
6.80%
12.42%
11.35%
6.91%
3.16%
1.15%
1
5.86%
10.70%
9.77%
5.95%
2.72%
0.99%
2
2.52%
4.61%
4.21%
2.56%
1.17%
0.43%
3
0.72%
1.32%
1.21%
0.74%
0.34%
0.12%
4
0.16%
0.29%
0.26%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Luton Town
1-05.86%
2-02.52%
2-14.61%
3-00.72%
3-11.32%
3-21.21%
4-00.16%
4-10.29%
4-20.26%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.80%
1-110.70%
2-24.21%
3-30.74%
Stoke City
0-112.42%
0-211.35%
1-29.77%
0-36.91%
1-35.95%
2-32.56%
0-43.16%
1-42.72%
2-41.17%
3-40.34%
0-51.15%
1-50.99%
2-50.43%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Stoke City
Score012345
0
28.80%
24.36%
10.30%
2.91%
0.61%
0.10%
1
11.49%
9.72%
4.11%
1.16%
0.25%
0.04%
2
2.29%
1.94%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.30%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-011.49%
2-02.29%
2-11.94%
3-00.30%
3-10.26%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-028.80%
1-19.72%
2-20.82%
Stoke City
0-124.36%
0-210.30%
1-24.11%
0-32.91%
1-31.16%
2-30.23%
0-40.61%
1-40.25%
0-50.10%
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