Stoke City at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Stoke City

33.7%30.2%36.1%
Stoke City WinDrawNott'ham Forest Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.07
2Final Score 2

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Swansea City+110
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+220
L 0-1 at Coventry City+265
L 3-2 vs Fulham+325
W 2-0 at Hull City+200
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 2-0 at Blackburn+235
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Barnsley-200
W 1-2 vs Derby County-110
W 1-0 at Millwall+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210+295+260+300+280+260+300+300.3
Nott'ham Forest+135+100-106+109+100-106+109+113.8
Draw+210+215+225+235+237+225+237+254.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+220---+255+275+275+300.3
Nott'ham Forest+130----110+110+110+113.8
Draw+230---+210+225+225+254.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 40.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +309 to +296
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +100 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +110 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2¼+100o2¼-106o2-138-o2¼-106o2-138o2-124
Underu2¼-118u2¼-120u2¼-114u2+123-u2¼-114u2¼-114u2+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-124
Under-----u2+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.5%
 
No58.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.65%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 49.63%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.16%
Exactly 318.63%
Exactly 53.98%
Exactly 70.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 036.86%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.36%
Exactly 36.11%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 034.33%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.62%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.40%
Exactly 217.59%
Exactly 41.34%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 063.00%
Exactly 129.11%
Exactly 26.73%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 060.95%
Exactly 130.18%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.32%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals14.50%
Wins by 3+ goals4.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal20.68%
Wins by 2 goals8.86%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal22.15%
Wins by 2 goals10.17%
Wins by 3 goals3.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.35%12.65%
1.561.19%38.81%
2.534.15%65.85%
3.515.52%84.48%
4.55.89%94.11%
5.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.14%36.86%
1.526.35%73.65%
2.57.99%92.01%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.67%34.33%
1.528.97%71.03%
2.59.35%90.65%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.60%38.40%
1.524.85%75.15%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
Score012345
0
12.65%
13.53%
7.23%
2.58%
0.69%
0.15%
1
12.63%
13.50%
7.22%
2.57%
0.69%
0.15%
2
6.30%
6.74%
3.60%
1.28%
0.34%
0.07%
3
2.10%
2.24%
1.20%
0.43%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.52%
0.56%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.63%
2-06.30%
2-16.74%
3-02.10%
3-12.24%
3-21.20%
4-00.52%
4-10.56%
4-20.30%
4-30.11%
5-00.10%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-012.65%
1-113.50%
2-23.60%
3-30.43%
Nottingham Forest
0-113.53%
0-27.23%
1-27.22%
0-32.58%
1-32.57%
2-31.28%
0-40.69%
1-40.69%
2-40.34%
3-40.11%
0-50.15%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
Score0123
0
38.40%
19.01%
4.71%
0.78%
1
17.74%
8.78%
2.17%
0.36%
2
4.10%
2.03%
0.50%
0.08%
3
0.63%
0.31%
0.08%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-017.74%
2-04.10%
2-12.03%
3-00.63%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-038.40%
1-18.78%
2-20.50%
Nottingham Forest
0-119.01%
0-24.71%
1-22.17%
0-30.78%
1-30.36%
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