Birmingham City at Stoke City

Updated

Birmingham City

20.0%24.2%55.8%
WinDrawStoke City Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.67
2Final Score 2

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Luton Town+200
L 1-3 at Bournemouth+650
L 2-1 vs Sheffield United+290
T 2-2 at Derby County+230
T 2-2 vs Peterborough United-110
Stoke City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Nottingham Forest+275
W 0-3 vs Swansea City+110
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+220
L 0-1 at Coventry City+265
L 3-2 vs Fulham+325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+330+380+335+391+380+335+391+379.7
Stoke City-120-135-132-124-140-132-124-112.1
Draw+245+260+255+260+272+255+272+280.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+365---+340+355+355+379.7
Stoke City-130----155-125-125-112.1
Draw+265---+240+260+260+280.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +330 to +315
Stoke City ML moved from -134 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +375 to +355
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2¼-125o2½+105o2½+105-o2½+105o2¼-125o2½+109
Underu2¼+105u2¼+105u2½-125u2½-120-u2½-125u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.68%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 413.88%
Exactly 63.05%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.72%
Exactly 321.64%
Exactly 57.12%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 040.91%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.34%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 018.78%
Exactly 131.41%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 314.64%
Exactly 46.12%
Exactly 52.05%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.48%
Exactly 221.51%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 066.11%
Exactly 127.36%
Exactly 25.66%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 046.10%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 213.82%
Exactly 33.57%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals6.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals30.56%
Wins by 3+ goals13.35%
Wins by 4+ goals4.76%
Wins by 5+ goals1.41%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal13.45%
Wins by 2 goals4.91%
Wins by 3 goals1.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal25.17%
Wins by 2 goals17.20%
Wins by 3 goals8.59%
Wins by 4 goals3.35%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.32%7.68%
1.572.60%27.40%
2.547.30%52.70%
3.525.66%74.34%
4.511.78%88.22%
5.54.66%95.34%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.09%40.91%
1.522.52%77.48%
2.56.18%93.82%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.22%18.78%
1.549.81%50.19%
2.523.55%76.45%
3.58.91%91.09%
4.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.52%30.48%
1.533.31%66.69%
2.511.79%88.21%
3.53.27%96.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Stoke City
Score012345
0
7.68%
12.85%
10.74%
5.99%
2.50%
0.84%
1
6.87%
11.48%
9.60%
5.35%
2.24%
0.75%
2
3.07%
5.13%
4.29%
2.39%
1.00%
0.33%
3
0.91%
1.53%
1.28%
0.71%
0.30%
0.10%
4
0.20%
0.34%
0.29%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
Birmingham City
1-06.87%
2-03.07%
2-15.13%
3-00.91%
3-11.53%
3-21.28%
4-00.20%
4-10.34%
4-20.29%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.68%
1-111.48%
2-24.29%
3-30.71%
Stoke City
0-112.85%
0-210.74%
1-29.60%
0-35.99%
1-35.35%
2-32.39%
0-42.50%
1-42.24%
2-41.00%
3-40.30%
0-50.84%
1-50.75%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
30.48%
23.60%
9.14%
2.36%
0.46%
1
12.61%
9.77%
3.78%
0.98%
0.19%
2
2.61%
2.02%
0.78%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.36%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Birmingham City
1-012.61%
2-02.61%
2-12.02%
3-00.36%
3-10.28%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.48%
1-19.77%
2-20.78%
Stoke City
0-123.60%
0-29.14%
1-23.78%
0-32.36%
1-30.98%
2-30.20%
0-40.46%
1-40.19%