Watford at Birmingham City

Updated

Watford

41.1%28.5%30.3%
Watford WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Burnley+140
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+205
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+135
W 0-2 vs Swansea City-105
L 0-2 at Brentford+210
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+260
W 1-2 vs Huddersfield+140
T 0-0 at Luton Town+345
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+160
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+129+111+110+110+106+110+111+116.6
Birmingham City+234+268+255+270+264+270+270+294.3
Draw+229+241+220+230+242+230+242+251.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+115----110+110+110+116.6
Birmingham City+260---+245+260+260+294.3
Draw+225---+220+235+235+251.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +100 to -102
Birmingham City ML moved from +275 to +265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Birmingham City ML moved from +275 to +260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+119o2¼-108o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-108o2½+127
Underu2½-135u2½-141u2¼-112u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2½-141u2½-127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+127
Under-----u2½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.57%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.23%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.76%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 029.19%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 036.23%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.68%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.34%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 056.55%
Exactly 132.24%
Exactly 29.19%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 062.49%
Exactly 129.38%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals18.03%
Wins by 3+ goals6.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals11.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.04%
Wins by 2 goals11.93%
Wins by 3 goals4.46%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal19.00%
Wins by 2 goals8.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.43%10.57%
1.565.67%34.33%
2.538.98%61.02%
3.518.99%81.01%
4.57.77%92.23%
5.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.81%29.19%
1.534.87%65.13%
2.512.74%87.26%
3.53.66%96.34%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.77%36.23%
1.526.99%73.01%
2.58.32%91.68%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.66%35.34%
1.527.90%72.10%
2.58.79%91.21%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
10.57%
10.74%
5.45%
1.85%
0.47%
1
13.02%
13.22%
6.71%
2.27%
0.58%
2
8.02%
8.14%
4.13%
1.40%
0.36%
3
3.29%
3.34%
1.70%
0.57%
0.15%
4
1.01%
1.03%
0.52%
0.18%
0.04%
5
0.25%
0.25%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-013.02%
2-08.02%
2-18.14%
3-03.29%
3-13.34%
3-21.70%
4-01.01%
4-11.03%
4-20.52%
4-30.18%
5-00.25%
5-10.25%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.57%
1-113.22%
2-24.13%
3-30.57%
Birmingham City
0-110.74%
0-25.45%
1-26.71%
0-31.85%
1-32.27%
2-31.40%
0-40.47%
1-40.58%
2-40.36%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
35.34%
16.61%
3.91%
0.61%
1
20.15%
9.47%
2.23%
0.35%
2
5.74%
2.70%
0.63%
0.10%
3
1.09%
0.51%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-020.15%
2-05.74%
2-12.70%
3-01.09%
3-10.51%
3-20.12%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-035.34%
1-19.47%
2-20.63%
Birmingham City
0-116.61%
0-23.91%
1-22.23%
0-30.61%
1-30.35%
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