Watford at Birmingham City

Updated

Watford

41.1%28.5%30.3%
Watford WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Burnley+140
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+205
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+135
W 0-2 vs Swansea City-105
L 0-2 at Brentford+210
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+260
W 1-2 vs Huddersfield+140
T 0-0 at Luton Town+345
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+160
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+129+111+110+110+106+110+111+116.6
Birmingham City+234+268+255+270+264+270+270+294.3
Draw+229+241+220+230+242+230+242+251.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+115----110+110+110+116.6
Birmingham City+260---+245+260+260+294.3
Draw+225---+220+235+235+251.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +100 to -102
Birmingham City ML moved from +275 to +265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Birmingham City ML moved from +275 to +260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+119o2¼-108o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-108o2½+127
Underu2½-135u2½-141u2¼-112u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2½-141u2½-127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+127
Under-----u2½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.57%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.23%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.76%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 029.19%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 036.23%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.68%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.34%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 056.55%
Exactly 132.24%
Exactly 29.19%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 062.49%
Exactly 129.38%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals18.03%
Wins by 3+ goals6.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals11.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.04%
Wins by 2 goals11.93%
Wins by 3 goals4.46%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal19.00%
Wins by 2 goals8.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.43%10.57%
1.565.67%34.33%
2.538.98%61.02%
3.518.99%81.01%
4.57.77%92.23%
5.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.81%29.19%
1.534.87%65.13%
2.512.74%87.26%
3.53.66%96.34%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.77%36.23%
1.526.99%73.01%
2.58.32%91.68%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.66%35.34%
1.527.90%72.10%
2.58.79%91.21%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
10.57%
10.74%
5.45%
1.85%
0.47%
1
13.02%
13.22%
6.71%
2.27%
0.58%
2
8.02%
8.14%
4.13%
1.40%
0.36%
3
3.29%
3.34%
1.70%
0.57%
0.15%
4
1.01%
1.03%
0.52%
0.18%
0.04%
5
0.25%
0.25%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-013.02%
2-08.02%
2-18.14%
3-03.29%
3-13.34%
3-21.70%
4-01.01%
4-11.03%
4-20.52%
4-30.18%
5-00.25%
5-10.25%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.57%
1-113.22%
2-24.13%
3-30.57%
Birmingham City
0-110.74%
0-25.45%
1-26.71%
0-31.85%
1-32.27%
2-31.40%
0-40.47%
1-40.58%
2-40.36%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
35.34%
16.61%
3.91%
0.61%
1
20.15%
9.47%
2.23%
0.35%
2
5.74%
2.70%
0.63%
0.10%
3
1.09%
0.51%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-020.15%
2-05.74%
2-12.70%
3-01.09%
3-10.51%
3-20.12%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-035.34%
1-19.47%
2-20.63%
Birmingham City
0-116.61%
0-23.91%
1-22.23%
0-30.61%
1-30.35%