Swansea City at Watford

Updated

Swansea City

33.4%29.5%37.1%
Swansea City WinDrawWatford Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Derby County+215
T 2-2 at Reading+235
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-120
T 2-2 vs Wycombe Wanderers-190
W 2-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+155
Watford
Money Line
L 0-2 at Brentford+210
W 0-1 vs Millwall-195
W 1-0 at Norwich City+235
L 0-1 at Luton Town-125
W 0-2 vs Reading-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+235+220+230+185+212+185+220-
Watford+125+130+125+142+135+142+142-
Draw+215+230+230+220+218+220+230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+255---+235+280+280-
Watford+105----110-105-105-
Draw+250---+225+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +230 to +215
Watford ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Swansea City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 90.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML
Watford ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130o2½-102o2½+100o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+100-
Underu2+110u2½-119u2½-120u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.71%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.32%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.11%
Exactly 319.25%
Exactly 54.43%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 036.22%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.68%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 032.33%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.04%
Exactly 218.27%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 062.49%
Exactly 129.38%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 059.28%
Exactly 131.00%
Exactly 28.10%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals12.15%
Wins by 3+ goals3.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals15.62%
Wins by 3+ goals4.86%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal20.15%
Wins by 2 goals8.70%
Wins by 3 goals2.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.40%
Wins by 2 goals10.76%
Wins by 3 goals3.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.29%11.71%
1.563.18%36.82%
2.536.25%63.75%
3.516.99%83.01%
4.56.67%93.33%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.78%36.22%
1.527.00%73.00%
2.58.32%91.68%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.67%32.33%
1.531.16%68.84%
2.510.55%89.45%
3.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.96%37.04%
1.526.17%73.83%
2.57.90%92.10%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Watford
Score012345
0
11.71%
13.22%
7.46%
2.81%
0.79%
0.18%
1
11.89%
13.43%
7.58%
2.85%
0.81%
0.18%
2
6.04%
6.82%
3.85%
1.45%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.04%
2.31%
1.30%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.52%
0.59%
0.33%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-011.89%
2-06.04%
2-16.82%
3-02.04%
3-12.31%
3-21.30%
4-00.52%
4-10.59%
4-20.33%
4-30.12%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.71%
1-113.43%
2-23.85%
3-30.49%
Watford
0-113.22%
0-27.46%
1-27.58%
0-32.81%
1-32.85%
2-31.45%
0-40.79%
1-40.81%
2-40.41%
3-40.14%
0-50.18%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Watford
Score01234
0
37.04%
19.37%
5.06%
0.88%
0.12%
1
17.42%
9.11%
2.38%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.10%
2.14%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.64%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-017.42%
2-04.10%
2-12.14%
3-00.64%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-037.04%
1-19.11%
2-20.56%
Watford
0-119.37%
0-25.06%
1-22.38%
0-30.88%
1-30.41%
0-40.12%
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