Burnley at Watford

Updated

Burnley

37.4%29.8%32.8%
Burnley WinDrawWatford Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.01
0Final Score 1

Watford

Last Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Luton Town-135
W 1-0 at Huddersfield+145
Watford
Money Line
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+205
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+135
W 0-2 vs Swansea City-105
L 0-2 at Brentford+210
W 0-1 vs Millwall-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+226+210+210+210+222+216+222+230.2
Watford+134+143+135+144+145+140+145+151.2
Draw+227+228+205+215+226+215+228+234.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+220---+190+205+205+230.2
Watford+135---+115+140+140+151.2
Draw+220---+215+225+225+234.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +217 to +209
Watford ML moved from +142 to +134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +225 to +210
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2½+115o2¼-105o2¼-115o2½+122o2¼-115o2¼-105o2½+128
Underu2½-138u2½-135u2¼-115u2¼-105u2½-137u2¼-105u2½-135u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+128
Under-----u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.03%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.08%
Exactly 61.51%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.48%
Exactly 319.04%
Exactly 54.27%
Exactly 70.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 033.17%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.20%
Exactly 37.43%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 036.26%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.51%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 060.00%
Exactly 130.65%
Exactly 27.83%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 062.52%
Exactly 129.36%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals15.07%
Wins by 3+ goals4.61%
Wins by 4+ goals1.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals12.35%
Wins by 3+ goals3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal22.23%
Wins by 2 goals10.47%
Wins by 3 goals3.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal20.43%
Wins by 2 goals8.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.97%12.03%
1.562.50%37.50%
2.535.52%64.48%
3.516.47%83.53%
4.56.39%93.61%
5.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.83%33.17%
1.530.22%69.78%
2.510.03%89.97%
3.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.74%36.26%
1.526.95%73.05%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.49%37.51%
1.525.71%74.29%
2.57.68%92.32%
3.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Watford
Score012345
0
12.03%
12.20%
6.19%
2.09%
0.53%
0.11%
1
13.27%
13.46%
6.83%
2.31%
0.59%
0.12%
2
7.32%
7.43%
3.77%
1.27%
0.32%
0.07%
3
2.69%
2.73%
1.39%
0.47%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.74%
0.75%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-013.27%
2-07.32%
2-17.43%
3-02.69%
3-12.73%
3-21.39%
4-00.74%
4-10.75%
4-20.38%
4-30.13%
5-00.16%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-012.03%
1-113.46%
2-23.77%
3-30.47%
Watford
0-112.20%
0-26.19%
1-26.83%
0-32.09%
1-32.31%
2-31.27%
0-40.53%
1-40.59%
2-40.32%
3-40.12%
0-50.11%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Watford
Score0123
0
37.51%
17.62%
4.14%
0.65%
1
19.16%
9.00%
2.11%
0.33%
2
4.90%
2.30%
0.54%
0.08%
3
0.83%
0.39%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-019.16%
2-04.90%
2-12.30%
3-00.83%
3-10.39%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-037.51%
1-19.00%
2-20.54%
Watford
0-117.62%
0-24.14%
1-22.11%
0-30.65%
1-30.33%
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