Birmingham City at Stoke City

Updated

Birmingham City

21.7%25.2%53.1%
Birmingham City WinDrawStoke City Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.58
2Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Millwall+135
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
L 1-2 at Blackburn+260
T 1-1 vs Burnley+255
W 2-0 at Hull City+190
Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Wigan Athletic+160
L 1-3 at Norwich City+255
L 2-0 vs Coventry City+110
L 1-0 vs Rotherham United-140
W 2-0 at Preston North End+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+275+293+300+260+316+260+316+326.9
Stoke City+100+104-110-108+103-108+104+108.3
Draw+225+239+250+235+241+235+250+250.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+250---+260+285+285+326.9
Stoke City+115----120+100+100+108.3
Draw+230---+230+245+245+250.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +300 to +293
Stoke City ML moved from +105 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML
Stoke City ML moved from -105 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+119o2¼-112o2¼-109o2½+132o2¼-109o2¼-109o2½+138
Underu2¼-115u2½-139u2¼-108u2¼-111u2½-147u2¼-111u2½-139u2½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+138
Under-----u2½-138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-110 to o2½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.21%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 413.36%
Exactly 62.78%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.52%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 56.68%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 040.05%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.77%
Exactly 35.11%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 020.50%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 313.60%
Exactly 45.39%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.43%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 065.46%
Exactly 127.73%
Exactly 25.88%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 048.01%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 212.92%
Exactly 33.16%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals7.27%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals28.01%
Wins by 3+ goals11.72%
Wins by 4+ goals3.99%
Wins by 5+ goals1.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal14.45%
Wins by 2 goals5.43%
Wins by 3 goals1.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal25.02%
Wins by 2 goals16.29%
Wins by 3 goals7.73%
Wins by 4 goals2.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.79%8.21%
1.571.27%28.73%
2.545.62%54.38%
3.524.24%75.76%
4.510.88%89.12%
5.54.20%95.80%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.95%40.05%
1.523.30%76.70%
2.56.54%93.46%
3.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.50%20.50%
1.547.02%52.98%
2.521.27%78.73%
3.57.67%92.33%
4.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.57%31.43%
1.532.19%67.81%
2.511.14%88.86%
3.53.02%96.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Stoke City
Score012345
0
8.21%
13.01%
10.31%
5.45%
2.16%
0.68%
1
7.51%
11.91%
9.43%
4.98%
1.97%
0.63%
2
3.44%
5.45%
4.32%
2.28%
0.90%
0.29%
3
1.05%
1.66%
1.32%
0.70%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.24%
0.38%
0.30%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Birmingham City
1-07.51%
2-03.44%
2-15.45%
3-01.05%
3-11.66%
3-21.32%
4-00.24%
4-10.38%
4-20.30%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.21%
1-111.91%
2-24.32%
3-30.70%
Stoke City
0-113.01%
0-210.31%
1-29.43%
0-35.45%
1-34.98%
2-32.28%
0-42.16%
1-41.97%
2-40.90%
3-40.28%
0-50.68%
1-50.63%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
31.43%
23.06%
8.46%
2.07%
0.38%
1
13.32%
9.77%
3.58%
0.88%
0.16%
2
2.82%
2.07%
0.76%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-013.32%
2-02.82%
2-12.07%
3-00.40%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.43%
1-19.77%
2-20.76%
Stoke City
0-123.06%
0-28.46%
1-23.58%
0-32.07%
1-30.88%
2-30.19%
0-40.38%
1-40.16%
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