Birmingham City at Stoke City

Updated

Birmingham City

21.7%25.2%53.1%
Birmingham City WinDrawStoke City Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.58
2Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Millwall+135
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
L 1-2 at Blackburn+260
T 1-1 vs Burnley+255
W 2-0 at Hull City+190
Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Wigan Athletic+160
L 1-3 at Norwich City+255
L 2-0 vs Coventry City+110
L 1-0 vs Rotherham United-140
W 2-0 at Preston North End+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+275+293+300+260+316+260+316+326.9
Stoke City+100+104-110-108+103-108+104+108.3
Draw+225+239+250+235+241+235+250+250.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+250---+260+285+285+326.9
Stoke City+115----120+100+100+108.3
Draw+230---+230+245+245+250.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +300 to +293
Stoke City ML moved from +105 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML
Stoke City ML moved from -105 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+119o2¼-112o2¼-109o2½+132o2¼-109o2¼-109o2½+138
Underu2¼-115u2½-139u2¼-108u2¼-111u2½-147u2¼-111u2½-139u2½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+138
Under-----u2½-138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-110 to o2½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.21%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 413.36%
Exactly 62.78%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.52%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 56.68%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 040.05%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.77%
Exactly 35.11%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 020.50%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 313.60%
Exactly 45.39%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.43%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 065.46%
Exactly 127.73%
Exactly 25.88%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 048.01%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 212.92%
Exactly 33.16%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals7.27%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals28.01%
Wins by 3+ goals11.72%
Wins by 4+ goals3.99%
Wins by 5+ goals1.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal14.45%
Wins by 2 goals5.43%
Wins by 3 goals1.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal25.02%
Wins by 2 goals16.29%
Wins by 3 goals7.73%
Wins by 4 goals2.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.79%8.21%
1.571.27%28.73%
2.545.62%54.38%
3.524.24%75.76%
4.510.88%89.12%
5.54.20%95.80%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.95%40.05%
1.523.30%76.70%
2.56.54%93.46%
3.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.50%20.50%
1.547.02%52.98%
2.521.27%78.73%
3.57.67%92.33%
4.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.57%31.43%
1.532.19%67.81%
2.511.14%88.86%
3.53.02%96.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Stoke City
Score012345
0
8.21%
13.01%
10.31%
5.45%
2.16%
0.68%
1
7.51%
11.91%
9.43%
4.98%
1.97%
0.63%
2
3.44%
5.45%
4.32%
2.28%
0.90%
0.29%
3
1.05%
1.66%
1.32%
0.70%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.24%
0.38%
0.30%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Birmingham City
1-07.51%
2-03.44%
2-15.45%
3-01.05%
3-11.66%
3-21.32%
4-00.24%
4-10.38%
4-20.30%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.21%
1-111.91%
2-24.32%
3-30.70%
Stoke City
0-113.01%
0-210.31%
1-29.43%
0-35.45%
1-34.98%
2-32.28%
0-42.16%
1-41.97%
2-40.90%
3-40.28%
0-50.68%
1-50.63%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
31.43%
23.06%
8.46%
2.07%
0.38%
1
13.32%
9.77%
3.58%
0.88%
0.16%
2
2.82%
2.07%
0.76%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-013.32%
2-02.82%
2-12.07%
3-00.40%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.43%
1-19.77%
2-20.76%
Stoke City
0-123.06%
0-28.46%
1-23.58%
0-32.07%
1-30.88%
2-30.19%
0-40.38%
1-40.16%