Burnley at Birmingham City

Updated

Burnley

50.7%26.1%23.2%
Burnley WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.50Projected Goals 0.93
1Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Swansea City-140
W 1-0 at Coventry City+130
T 1-1 vs Stoke City-160
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+135
W 1-2 vs Bristol City-135
Birmingham City
Money Line
W 2-0 at Hull City+190
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+160
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough+425
T 1-1 at Sheffield United+580
T 0-0 vs Coventry City+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+123+118+115+114-+114+118+126.2
Birmingham City+239+262+255+240-+240+262+271.2
Draw+236+228+210+215-+215+228+246.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+110----105+115+115+126.2
Birmingham City+260---+240+255+255+271.2
Draw+235---+210+230+230+246.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +111 to +104
Birmingham City ML moved from +269 to +262

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
Birmingham City ML moved from +255 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-146o2¼-105o2¼-105-o2¼-105o2-146o2½+134
Underu2½-138u2+124u2¼-115u2¼-115-u2¼-115u2¼-115u2½-134
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+134
Under-----u2½-134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.82%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 412.78%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.42%
Exactly 321.05%
Exactly 56.20%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 022.24%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 312.59%
Exactly 44.73%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 039.65%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.97%
Exactly 35.23%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.49%
Exactly 220.53%
Exactly 42.16%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 049.86%
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 212.07%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 065.16%
Exactly 127.91%
Exactly 25.98%
Exactly 30.85%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals25.74%
Wins by 3+ goals10.28%
Wins by 4+ goals3.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.84%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals7.87%
Wins by 3+ goals2.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.87%
Wins by 2 goals15.46%
Wins by 3 goals6.99%
Wins by 4 goals2.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal15.31%
Wins by 2 goals5.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.18%8.82%
1.569.77%30.23%
2.543.76%56.24%
3.522.72%77.28%
4.59.94%90.06%
5.53.74%96.26%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.76%22.24%
1.544.32%55.68%
2.519.19%80.81%
3.56.60%93.40%
4.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.35%39.65%
1.523.67%76.33%
2.56.71%93.29%
3.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.51%32.49%
1.530.98%69.02%
2.510.45%89.55%
3.52.76%97.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
8.82%
8.16%
3.77%
1.16%
0.27%
1
13.26%
12.26%
5.67%
1.75%
0.40%
2
9.96%
9.22%
4.26%
1.31%
0.30%
3
4.99%
4.62%
2.14%
0.66%
0.15%
4
1.88%
1.74%
0.80%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.56%
0.52%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
Burnley
1-013.26%
2-09.96%
2-19.22%
3-04.99%
3-14.62%
3-22.14%
4-01.88%
4-11.74%
4-20.80%
4-30.25%
5-00.56%
5-10.52%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-08.82%
1-112.26%
2-24.26%
3-30.66%
Birmingham City
0-18.16%
0-23.77%
1-25.67%
0-31.16%
1-31.75%
2-31.31%
0-40.27%
1-40.40%
2-40.30%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
32.49%
13.92%
2.98%
0.43%
1
22.61%
9.68%
2.07%
0.30%
2
7.87%
3.37%
0.72%
0.10%
3
1.83%
0.78%
0.17%
0.02%
4
0.32%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Burnley
1-022.61%
2-07.87%
2-13.37%
3-01.83%
3-10.78%
3-20.17%
4-00.32%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-032.49%
1-19.68%
2-20.72%
Birmingham City
0-113.92%
0-22.98%
1-22.07%
0-30.43%
1-30.30%
2-30.10%
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