Stoke City at Burnley

Updated

Stoke City

12.7%20.1%67.2%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.00
1Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Watford+160
T 0-0 at Queens Park Rangers+210
W 3-0 at Hull City+150
L 1-2 at Reading+145
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+115
Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+135
W 1-2 vs Bristol City-135
T 1-1 at Preston North End+140
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+260
W 0-2 vs Millwall-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+340+494+440+460+430+460+494+527.1
Burnley-125-167-170-160-167-160-160-151.2
Draw+260+306+300+288+306+288+306+319.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+350---+390+475+475+527.1
Burnley-120----180-160-160-151.2
Draw+255---+255+285+285+319.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +440 to +420
Burnley ML moved from -160 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +390 to +375
Burnley ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-116o2½-122o2½-118-o2½-118o2½-116o2½-103
Underu2½+100u2½-102u2½+102u2½-102-u2½-102u2½+102u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.50%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 415.11%
Exactly 63.76%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.77%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 58.26%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 048.09%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 212.89%
Exactly 33.14%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 013.52%
Exactly 127.06%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.05%
Exactly 49.03%
Exactly 53.61%
Exactly 61.20%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.21%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 071.25%
Exactly 124.15%
Exactly 24.09%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 039.60%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.99%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals3.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.66%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals41.88%
Wins by 3+ goals21.22%
Wins by 4+ goals8.85%
Wins by 5+ goals3.07%
Wins by 6+ goals0.87%
Wins by 7+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Burnley
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal9.20%
Wins by 2 goals2.75%
Wins by 3 goals0.58%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal25.17%
Wins by 2 goals20.66%
Wins by 3 goals12.37%
Wins by 4 goals5.78%
Wins by 5 goals2.21%
Wins by 6 goals0.70%
Wins by 7 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.50%6.50%
1.575.73%24.27%
2.551.44%48.56%
3.529.32%70.68%
4.514.20%85.80%
5.55.94%94.06%
6.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.91%48.09%
1.516.70%83.30%
2.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.48%13.52%
1.559.42%40.58%
2.532.35%67.65%
3.514.30%85.70%
4.55.27%94.73%
5.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.79%28.21%
1.536.09%63.91%
2.513.50%86.50%
3.53.97%96.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Burnley
Score012345
0
6.50%
13.01%
13.02%
8.68%
4.34%
1.74%
1
4.76%
9.53%
9.53%
6.36%
3.18%
1.27%
2
1.74%
3.49%
3.49%
2.33%
1.16%
0.47%
3
0.43%
0.85%
0.85%
0.57%
0.28%
0.11%
Stoke City
1-04.76%
2-01.74%
2-13.49%
3-00.43%
3-10.85%
3-20.85%
Draw
0-06.50%
1-19.53%
2-23.49%
3-30.57%
Burnley
0-113.01%
0-213.02%
1-29.53%
0-38.68%
1-36.36%
2-32.33%
0-44.34%
1-43.18%
2-41.16%
3-40.28%
0-51.74%
1-51.27%
2-50.47%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Burnley
Score012345
0
28.21%
26.14%
12.11%
3.74%
0.87%
0.16%
1
9.56%
8.86%
4.10%
1.27%
0.29%
0.05%
2
1.62%
1.50%
0.70%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-09.56%
2-01.62%
2-11.50%
3-00.18%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-028.21%
1-18.86%
2-20.70%
Burnley
0-126.14%
0-212.11%
1-24.10%
0-33.74%
1-31.27%
2-30.21%
0-40.87%
1-40.29%
0-50.16%