Burnley at West Brom

Updated

Burnley

38.2%29.4%32.5%
Burnley WinDrawWest Brom Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 1

West Bromwich Albion

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Millwall-125
W 5-1 at Wigan Athletic+130
T 3-3 vs Blackpool-185
T 1-1 vs Hull City-195
L 0-1 at Watford+205
West Bromwich Albion
Money Line
T 1-1 at Wigan Athletic+105
T 2-2 at Huddersfield-120
W 2-5 vs Hull City-180
T 0-0 vs Cardiff City-165
L 1-2 at Blackburn+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+195+226+215+205+231+205+226+243.8
West Brom+145+130+130+124+114+124+130+139.1
Draw+205+235+220+225+245+225+245+243.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+195---+180+260+260+243.8
West Brom+115---+120+110+110+139.1
Draw+210---+215+235+235+243.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 40.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +232 to +226
West Brom ML moved from +123 to +117

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Burnley: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 40.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 60.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +195 to +180
West Brom ML moved from +120 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2½+100o2½-102o2½+101-o2½+101o2½+101o2½+111
Underu2¼-108u2½-118u2½-118u2½-121-u2½-121u2½-118u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+111
Under-----u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.51%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 410.48%
Exactly 61.63%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.89%
Exactly 319.38%
Exactly 54.53%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 032.07%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 035.89%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.75%
Exactly 218.41%
Exactly 41.54%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.14%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 059.07%
Exactly 131.10%
Exactly 28.19%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 062.22%
Exactly 129.52%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals15.70%
Wins by 3+ goals4.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals12.26%
Wins by 3+ goals3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
West Bromwich Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal22.35%
Wins by 2 goals10.79%
Wins by 3 goals3.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal20.14%
Wins by 2 goals8.76%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.49%11.51%
1.563.60%36.40%
2.536.70%63.30%
3.517.32%82.68%
4.56.84%93.16%
5.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.93%32.07%
1.531.45%68.55%
2.510.72%89.28%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.11%35.89%
1.527.33%72.67%
2.58.49%91.51%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.25%36.75%
1.526.46%73.54%
2.58.05%91.95%
3.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
West Bromwich Albion
Score012345
0
11.51%
11.80%
6.04%
2.06%
0.53%
0.11%
1
13.09%
13.41%
6.87%
2.35%
0.60%
0.12%
2
7.44%
7.63%
3.91%
1.33%
0.34%
0.07%
3
2.82%
2.89%
1.48%
0.51%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.80%
0.82%
0.42%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-013.09%
2-07.44%
2-17.63%
3-02.82%
3-12.89%
3-21.48%
4-00.80%
4-10.82%
4-20.42%
4-30.14%
5-00.18%
5-10.19%
Draw
0-011.51%
1-113.41%
2-23.91%
3-30.51%
West Bromwich Albion
0-111.80%
0-26.04%
1-26.87%
0-32.06%
1-32.35%
2-31.33%
0-40.53%
1-40.60%
2-40.34%
3-40.13%
0-50.11%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
West Bromwich Albion
Score0123
0
36.75%
17.44%
4.14%
0.65%
1
19.35%
9.18%
2.18%
0.34%
2
5.09%
2.42%
0.57%
0.09%
3
0.89%
0.42%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-019.35%
2-05.09%
2-12.42%
3-00.89%
3-10.42%
3-20.10%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-036.75%
1-19.18%
2-20.57%
West Bromwich Albion
0-117.44%
0-24.14%
1-22.18%
0-30.65%
1-30.34%