Millwall at Burnley

Updated

Millwall

12.6%20.9%66.6%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.68Projected Goals 1.92
0Final Score 2

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Reading-125
L 0-2 at Norwich City+330
T 2-2 at Swansea City+195
W 2-3 vs Coventry City+140
L 0-2 at Sheffield United+370
Burnley
Money Line
W 5-1 at Wigan Athletic+130
T 3-3 vs Blackpool-185
T 1-1 vs Hull City-195
L 0-1 at Watford+205
T 1-1 vs Luton Town-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+348+385+370+345+346+345+385+404.3
Burnley-114-121-125-123-123-123-121-105.5
Draw+252+250+230+230+251+230+251+246.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+415---+350+385+385+404.3
Burnley-140----150-125-125-105.5
Draw+265---+230+245+245+246.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +355 to +345
Burnley ML moved from -125 to -131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +375 to +345
No Steam Moves On Burnley ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o2-145o2¼-105o2¼-107-o2¼-107o2-145o2½+136
Underu2½-125u2+123u2¼-115u2¼-113-u2¼-113u2¼-113u2½-136
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+136
Under-----u2½-136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.4%
 
No57.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.40%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 414.17%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.27%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.38%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 050.30%
Exactly 134.56%
Exactly 211.87%
Exactly 32.72%
Exactly 40.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 014.72%
Exactly 128.20%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.26%
Exactly 48.27%
Exactly 53.17%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.96%
Exactly 221.76%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 072.75%
Exactly 123.14%
Exactly 23.68%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 041.18%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.21%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals3.24%
Wins by 3+ goals0.60%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals40.67%
Wins by 3+ goals20.05%
Wins by 4+ goals8.10%
Wins by 5+ goals2.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.74%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Burnley
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal9.25%
Wins by 2 goals2.64%
Wins by 3 goals0.53%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal25.81%
Wins by 2 goals20.63%
Wins by 3 goals11.94%
Wins by 4 goals5.38%
Wins by 5 goals1.98%
Wins by 6 goals0.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.60%7.40%
1.573.33%26.67%
2.548.24%51.76%
3.526.47%73.53%
4.512.31%87.69%
5.54.93%95.07%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.70%50.30%
1.515.13%84.87%
2.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.28%14.72%
1.557.08%42.92%
2.530.07%69.93%
3.512.81%87.19%
4.54.54%95.46%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.04%29.96%
1.533.93%66.07%
2.512.17%87.83%
3.53.42%96.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Burnley
Score012345
0
7.40%
14.19%
13.59%
8.68%
4.16%
1.59%
1
5.09%
9.75%
9.34%
5.96%
2.86%
1.10%
2
1.75%
3.35%
3.21%
2.05%
0.98%
0.38%
3
0.40%
0.77%
0.73%
0.47%
0.22%
0.09%
Millwall
1-05.09%
2-01.75%
2-13.35%
3-00.40%
3-10.77%
3-20.73%
Draw
0-07.40%
1-19.75%
2-23.21%
3-30.47%
Burnley
0-114.19%
0-213.59%
1-29.34%
0-38.68%
1-35.96%
2-32.05%
0-44.16%
1-42.86%
2-40.98%
3-40.22%
0-51.59%
1-51.10%
2-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Burnley
Score012345
0
29.96%
26.58%
11.79%
3.49%
0.77%
0.14%
1
9.53%
8.46%
3.75%
1.11%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.52%
1.35%
0.60%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Millwall
1-09.53%
2-01.52%
2-11.35%
3-00.16%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-029.96%
1-18.46%
2-20.60%
Burnley
0-126.58%
0-211.79%
1-23.75%
0-33.49%
1-31.11%
2-30.18%
0-40.77%
1-40.25%
0-50.14%
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