Watford at Stoke City

Updated

Watford

31.1%28.9%39.9%
Watford WinDrawStoke City Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.19
4Final Score 0

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Sunderland+100
L 0-2 at Blackburn+165
T 1-1 at Rotherham United+115
W 1-2 vs Middlesbrough+155
L 3-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
Stoke City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Queens Park Rangers+210
W 3-0 at Hull City+150
L 1-2 at Reading+145
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+115
W 1-0 at Blackburn+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+197+183+175+167+170+167+183+192.2
Stoke City+138+168+170+164+163+164+170+183.3
Draw+231+220+200+205+222+205+222+228.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+195---+175+180+180+192.2
Stoke City+145---+130+160+160+183.3
Draw+230---+205+225+225+228.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +176 to +170
Stoke City ML moved from +166 to +159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2-146o2¼-105o2¼+101-o2¼+101o2¼+101o2½+136
Underu2½-139u2+124u2¼-115u2¼-121-u2¼-121u2¼-115u2½-136
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+136
Under-----u2½-136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.01%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 410.87%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.29%
Exactly 319.71%
Exactly 54.80%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 036.21%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.68%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 030.41%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.00%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 062.48%
Exactly 129.39%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 057.63%
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 28.75%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals11.63%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals17.09%
Wins by 3+ goals5.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal19.46%
Wins by 2 goals8.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal22.80%
Wins by 2 goals11.46%
Wins by 3 goals4.15%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.99%11.01%
1.564.70%35.30%
2.537.90%62.10%
3.518.19%81.81%
4.57.32%92.68%
5.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.79%36.21%
1.527.01%72.99%
2.58.32%91.68%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.59%30.41%
1.533.39%66.61%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.00%36.00%
1.527.22%72.78%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Stoke City
Score012345
0
11.01%
13.11%
7.80%
3.10%
0.92%
0.22%
1
11.19%
13.32%
7.93%
3.15%
0.94%
0.22%
2
5.68%
6.76%
4.03%
1.60%
0.48%
0.11%
3
1.92%
2.29%
1.36%
0.54%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.49%
0.58%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-011.19%
2-05.68%
2-16.76%
3-01.92%
3-12.29%
3-21.36%
4-00.49%
4-10.58%
4-20.35%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-011.01%
1-113.32%
2-24.03%
3-30.54%
Stoke City
0-113.11%
0-27.80%
1-27.93%
0-33.10%
1-33.15%
2-31.60%
0-40.92%
1-40.94%
2-40.48%
3-40.16%
0-50.22%
1-50.22%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Stoke City
Score01234
0
36.00%
19.84%
5.47%
1.00%
0.14%
1
16.93%
9.33%
2.57%
0.47%
0.07%
2
3.98%
2.20%
0.60%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-016.93%
2-03.98%
2-12.20%
3-00.62%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-036.00%
1-19.33%
2-20.60%
Stoke City
0-119.84%
0-25.47%
1-22.57%
0-31.00%
1-30.47%
2-30.11%
0-40.14%