Watford at Stoke City

Updated

Watford

31.1%28.9%39.9%
Watford WinDrawStoke City Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.19
4Final Score 0

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Sunderland+100
L 0-2 at Blackburn+165
T 1-1 at Rotherham United+115
W 1-2 vs Middlesbrough+155
L 3-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
Stoke City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Queens Park Rangers+210
W 3-0 at Hull City+150
L 1-2 at Reading+145
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+115
W 1-0 at Blackburn+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+197+183+175+167+170+167+183+192.2
Stoke City+138+168+170+164+163+164+170+183.3
Draw+231+220+200+205+222+205+222+228.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+195---+175+180+180+192.2
Stoke City+145---+130+160+160+183.3
Draw+230---+205+225+225+228.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +176 to +170
Stoke City ML moved from +166 to +159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2-146o2¼-105o2¼+101-o2¼+101o2¼+101o2½+136
Underu2½-139u2+124u2¼-115u2¼-121-u2¼-121u2¼-115u2½-136
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+136
Under-----u2½-136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.01%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 410.87%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.29%
Exactly 319.71%
Exactly 54.80%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 036.21%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.68%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 030.41%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.00%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 062.48%
Exactly 129.39%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 057.63%
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 28.75%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals11.63%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals17.09%
Wins by 3+ goals5.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal19.46%
Wins by 2 goals8.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal22.80%
Wins by 2 goals11.46%
Wins by 3 goals4.15%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.99%11.01%
1.564.70%35.30%
2.537.90%62.10%
3.518.19%81.81%
4.57.32%92.68%
5.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.79%36.21%
1.527.01%72.99%
2.58.32%91.68%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.59%30.41%
1.533.39%66.61%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.00%36.00%
1.527.22%72.78%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Stoke City
Score012345
0
11.01%
13.11%
7.80%
3.10%
0.92%
0.22%
1
11.19%
13.32%
7.93%
3.15%
0.94%
0.22%
2
5.68%
6.76%
4.03%
1.60%
0.48%
0.11%
3
1.92%
2.29%
1.36%
0.54%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.49%
0.58%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-011.19%
2-05.68%
2-16.76%
3-01.92%
3-12.29%
3-21.36%
4-00.49%
4-10.58%
4-20.35%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-011.01%
1-113.32%
2-24.03%
3-30.54%
Stoke City
0-113.11%
0-27.80%
1-27.93%
0-33.10%
1-33.15%
2-31.60%
0-40.92%
1-40.94%
2-40.48%
3-40.16%
0-50.22%
1-50.22%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Stoke City
Score01234
0
36.00%
19.84%
5.47%
1.00%
0.14%
1
16.93%
9.33%
2.57%
0.47%
0.07%
2
3.98%
2.20%
0.60%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-016.93%
2-03.98%
2-12.20%
3-00.62%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-036.00%
1-19.33%
2-20.60%
Stoke City
0-119.84%
0-25.47%
1-22.57%
0-31.00%
1-30.47%
2-30.11%
0-40.14%
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