Burnley at Cardiff City

Updated

Burnley

47.3%26.6%26.1%
Burnley WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.44Projected Goals 1.00
1Final Score 1

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Bristol City-135
T 1-1 at Preston North End+140
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+260
W 0-2 vs Millwall-125
W 5-1 at Wigan Athletic+130
Cardiff City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Huddersfield+180
W 3-2 at Middlesbrough+450
L 0-2 at Millwall+270
L 2-1 vs Luton Town+160
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+115+135+140+142+130+142+142+143.2
Cardiff City+236+220+205+191+209+191+220+234.6
Draw+236+232+210+210+233+210+233+244.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+140---+120+135+135+143.2
Cardiff City+205---+190+215+215+234.6
Draw+225---+205+225+225+244.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +135 to +128
Cardiff City ML moved from +217 to +209

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2½+115o2¼-110o2¼-109-o2¼-109o2¼-109o2-147
Underu2½-137u2½-135u2¼-110u2¼-111-u2¼-111u2½-135u2+147
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-147
Under-----u2+147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.74%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 412.85%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.30%
Exactly 321.09%
Exactly 56.26%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 023.69%
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 311.79%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 036.89%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.35%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.35%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 051.34%
Exactly 134.23%
Exactly 211.41%
Exactly 32.54%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 063.02%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 26.72%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals23.14%
Wins by 3+ goals8.89%
Wins by 4+ goals2.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals9.41%
Wins by 3+ goals2.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.06%
Wins by 2 goals14.26%
Wins by 3 goals6.15%
Wins by 4 goals2.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal16.67%
Wins by 2 goals6.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.26%8.74%
1.569.96%30.04%
2.544.00%56.00%
3.522.91%77.09%
4.510.06%89.94%
5.53.80%96.20%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.31%23.69%
1.542.19%57.81%
2.517.62%82.38%
3.55.83%94.17%
4.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.11%36.89%
1.526.33%73.67%
2.57.98%92.02%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.65%32.35%
1.531.14%68.86%
2.510.54%89.46%
3.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
8.74%
8.72%
4.35%
1.45%
0.36%
1
12.58%
12.55%
6.26%
2.08%
0.52%
2
9.06%
9.04%
4.51%
1.50%
0.37%
3
4.35%
4.34%
2.16%
0.72%
0.18%
4
1.57%
1.56%
0.78%
0.26%
0.06%
5
0.45%
0.45%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
Burnley
1-012.58%
2-09.06%
2-19.04%
3-04.35%
3-14.34%
3-22.16%
4-01.57%
4-11.56%
4-20.78%
4-30.26%
5-00.45%
5-10.45%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-08.74%
1-112.55%
2-24.51%
3-30.72%
Cardiff City
0-18.72%
0-24.35%
1-26.26%
0-31.45%
1-32.08%
2-31.50%
0-40.36%
1-40.52%
2-40.37%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Cardiff City
Score0123
0
32.35%
14.94%
3.45%
0.53%
1
21.57%
9.96%
2.30%
0.35%
2
7.19%
3.32%
0.77%
0.12%
3
1.60%
0.74%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.27%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Burnley
1-021.57%
2-07.19%
2-13.32%
3-01.60%
3-10.74%
3-20.17%
4-00.27%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-032.35%
1-19.96%
2-20.77%
Cardiff City
0-114.94%
0-23.45%
1-22.30%
0-30.53%
1-30.35%
2-30.12%
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