Cardiff City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Cardiff City

20.7%23.8%55.5%
Cardiff City WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.72
3Final Score 2

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Millwall+270
L 2-1 vs Luton Town+160
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+185
L 0-2 at Bristol City+235
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+500
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sunderland-120
L 1-2 at Watford+190
W 1-2 vs Swansea City-140
L 0-1 at Reading+100
T 2-2 at Stoke City+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+427+423+400+380+390+380+423+462.9
Middlesbrough-139-133-135-139-142-139-133-126.9
Draw+271+259+245+245+269+245+269+280.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+450---+430+450+450+462.9
Middlesbrough-145----185-145-145-126.9
Draw+260---+240+260+260+280.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +375 to +365
Middlesbrough ML moved from -139 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +460 to +450
Middlesbrough ML moved from -145 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+104o2½+109o2¼-115o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-115o2½+120
Underu2½-122u2½-129u2¼-105u2¼-105-u2¼-105u2½-129u2½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+120
Under-----u2½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.92%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 414.67%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.48%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 038.68%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 017.88%
Exactly 130.78%
Exactly 226.49%
Exactly 315.20%
Exactly 46.54%
Exactly 52.25%
Exactly 60.65%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.03%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 064.42%
Exactly 128.33%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 045.07%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 214.31%
Exactly 33.80%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals7.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals30.81%
Wins by 3+ goals13.70%
Wins by 4+ goals4.99%
Wins by 5+ goals1.51%
Wins by 6+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal13.62%
Wins by 2 goals5.21%
Wins by 3 goals1.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal24.69%
Wins by 2 goals17.11%
Wins by 3 goals8.72%
Wins by 4 goals3.48%
Wins by 5 goals1.14%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.08%6.92%
1.574.61%25.39%
2.549.93%50.07%
3.527.96%72.04%
4.513.28%86.72%
5.55.45%94.55%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.32%38.68%
1.524.58%75.42%
2.57.13%92.87%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.12%17.88%
1.551.34%48.66%
2.524.85%75.15%
3.59.64%90.36%
4.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.97%29.03%
1.535.06%64.94%
2.512.86%87.14%
3.53.71%96.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
6.92%
11.91%
10.25%
5.88%
2.53%
0.87%
1
6.57%
11.31%
9.73%
5.59%
2.40%
0.83%
2
3.12%
5.37%
4.62%
2.65%
1.14%
0.39%
3
0.99%
1.70%
1.46%
0.84%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.23%
0.40%
0.35%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
Cardiff City
1-06.57%
2-03.12%
2-15.37%
3-00.99%
3-11.70%
3-21.46%
4-00.23%
4-10.40%
4-20.35%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.92%
1-111.31%
2-24.62%
3-30.84%
Middlesbrough
0-111.91%
0-210.25%
1-29.73%
0-35.88%
1-35.59%
2-32.65%
0-42.53%
1-42.40%
2-41.14%
3-40.36%
0-50.87%
1-50.83%
2-50.39%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
29.03%
23.14%
9.22%
2.45%
0.49%
1
12.77%
10.18%
4.06%
1.08%
0.21%
2
2.81%
2.24%
0.89%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.41%
0.33%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-012.77%
2-02.81%
2-12.24%
3-00.41%
3-10.33%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-029.03%
1-110.18%
2-20.89%
Middlesbrough
0-123.14%
0-29.22%
1-24.06%
0-32.45%
1-31.08%
2-30.24%
0-40.49%
1-40.21%