Swansea City at Bristol City

Updated

Swansea City

31.2%27.0%41.9%
Swansea City WinDrawBristol City Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.35
1Final Score 1

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Cardiff City+115
W 2-3 vs Reading+105
L 0-4 at Burnley+375
W 1-2 vs Sunderland+105
W 2-1 at Watford+355
Bristol City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Reading+175
W 2-0 at West Bromwich Albion+375
L 2-1 vs Millwall+155
W 1-2 vs Preston North End+145
L 0-3 at Birmingham City+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+215+160+155+145-+145+160-
Bristol City+130+174+170+161-+161+174-
Draw+220+245+240+245-+245+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+210---+180+205+205-
Bristol City+130---+115+130+130-
Draw+240---+225+245+245-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Bristol City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +171 to +165
Bristol City ML moved from +155 to +145

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Swansea City: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Bristol City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 90.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +210 to +200
No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½-128o2¾-105o2¾-109-o2¾-109o2½-128-
Underu2¼-102u2½+108u2¾-115u2¾-111-u2¾-111u2¾-111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.17%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 032.43%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 025.93%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 310.63%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 059.37%
Exactly 130.96%
Exactly 28.07%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 053.53%
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 210.45%
Exactly 32.18%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals12.34%
Wins by 3+ goals3.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals19.35%
Wins by 3+ goals7.00%
Wins by 4+ goals2.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal18.74%
Wins by 2 goals8.60%
Wins by 3 goals2.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal22.46%
Wins by 2 goals12.36%
Wins by 3 goals4.97%
Wins by 4 goals1.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.77%29.23%
2.545.00%55.00%
3.523.73%76.27%
4.510.56%89.44%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.57%32.43%
1.531.06%68.94%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.07%25.93%
1.539.07%60.93%
2.515.45%84.55%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Bristol City
Score012345
0
8.41%
11.35%
7.66%
3.45%
1.16%
0.31%
1
9.47%
12.78%
8.63%
3.88%
1.31%
0.35%
2
5.33%
7.20%
4.86%
2.19%
0.74%
0.20%
3
2.00%
2.70%
1.82%
0.82%
0.28%
0.07%
4
0.56%
0.76%
0.51%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.17%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-09.47%
2-05.33%
2-17.20%
3-02.00%
3-12.70%
3-21.82%
4-00.56%
4-10.76%
4-20.51%
4-30.23%
5-00.13%
5-10.17%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-112.78%
2-24.86%
3-30.82%
Bristol City
0-111.35%
0-27.66%
1-28.63%
0-33.45%
1-33.88%
2-32.19%
0-41.16%
1-41.31%
2-40.74%
3-40.28%
0-50.31%
1-50.35%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Bristol City
Score01234
0
31.78%
19.86%
6.20%
1.29%
0.20%
1
16.57%
10.36%
3.24%
0.67%
0.11%
2
4.32%
2.70%
0.84%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.75%
0.47%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-016.57%
2-04.32%
2-12.70%
3-00.75%
3-10.47%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-031.78%
1-110.36%
2-20.84%
Bristol City
0-119.86%
0-26.20%
1-23.24%
0-31.29%
1-30.67%
2-30.18%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%
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