Swansea City at Watford

Updated

Swansea City

21.1%24.8%54.0%
Swansea City WinDrawWatford Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.62
2Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 3-2 at West Bromwich Albion+410
W 0-3 vs Hull City-125
L 1-0 vs Sheffield United+235
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
T 1-1 at Stoke City+245
Watford
Money Line
W 4-0 at Stoke City+180
T 2-2 vs Sunderland+100
L 0-2 at Blackburn+165
T 1-1 at Rotherham United+115
W 1-2 vs Middlesbrough+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+300+338+330+360+316+360+360+382.7
Watford-115-115-120-121-121-121-115-110.9
Draw+245+262+245+250+270+250+270+274.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+300---+325+355+355+382.7
Watford-105----145-120-120-110.9
Draw+245---+230+250+250+274.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +320 to +310
Watford ML moved from -119 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +300 to +290
Watford ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-109o2½-105o2½-108-o2½-108o2½-105o2½+102
Underu2½-118u2½-109u2½-115u2½-112-u2½-112u2½-109u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+102
Under-----u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.99%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 413.57%
Exactly 62.89%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.19%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 56.86%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 040.30%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.64%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 019.83%
Exactly 132.08%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 314.00%
Exactly 45.66%
Exactly 51.83%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.04%
Exactly 221.24%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 065.65%
Exactly 127.63%
Exactly 25.81%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 047.28%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 213.27%
Exactly 33.31%
Exactly 40.62%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals7.00%
Wins by 3+ goals1.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals28.94%
Wins by 3+ goals12.31%
Wins by 4+ goals4.27%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal14.08%
Wins by 2 goals5.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.07%
Wins by 2 goals16.63%
Wins by 3 goals8.05%
Wins by 4 goals3.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.01%7.99%
1.571.82%28.18%
2.546.31%53.69%
3.524.82%75.18%
4.511.24%88.76%
5.54.38%95.62%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.70%40.30%
1.523.08%76.92%
2.56.43%93.57%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.17%19.83%
1.548.09%51.91%
2.522.13%77.87%
3.58.13%91.87%
4.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.96%31.04%
1.532.65%67.35%
2.511.41%88.59%
3.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Watford
Score012345
0
7.99%
12.93%
10.46%
5.64%
2.28%
0.74%
1
7.26%
11.75%
9.51%
5.13%
2.07%
0.67%
2
3.30%
5.34%
4.32%
2.33%
0.94%
0.31%
3
1.00%
1.62%
1.31%
0.71%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.23%
0.37%
0.30%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-07.26%
2-03.30%
2-15.34%
3-01.00%
3-11.62%
3-21.31%
4-00.23%
4-10.37%
4-20.30%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.99%
1-111.75%
2-24.32%
3-30.71%
Watford
0-112.93%
0-210.46%
1-29.51%
0-35.64%
1-35.13%
2-32.33%
0-42.28%
1-42.07%
2-40.94%
3-40.29%
0-50.74%
1-50.67%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Watford
Score01234
0
31.04%
23.25%
8.71%
2.18%
0.41%
1
13.06%
9.78%
3.67%
0.92%
0.17%
2
2.75%
2.06%
0.77%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.39%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-013.06%
2-02.75%
2-12.06%
3-00.39%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.04%
1-19.78%
2-20.77%
Watford
0-123.25%
0-28.71%
1-23.67%
0-32.18%
1-30.92%
2-30.19%
0-40.41%
1-40.17%
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