Swansea City at Stoke City

Updated

Swansea City

25.4%26.0%48.5%
Swansea City WinDrawStoke City Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.49
1Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Rotherham United+120
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield-110
L 1-3 at Leeds United+800
T 2-2 vs Hull City+185
L 2-3 at Ipswich Town+450
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+100
L 1-2 at Plymouth Argyle+160
L 2-4 at Queens Park Rangers+175
L 3-0 vs Blackburn+120
T 0-0 at Coventry City+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+245+253+240+205+251+205+253+229.6
Stoke City+110+112+110+116+110+116+116+133.4
Draw+230+251+235+245+256+245+256+272.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+255---+210+250+250+229.6
Stoke City+105---+100+110+110+133.4
Draw+255---+230+250+250+272.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 40.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +257 to +251
Stoke City ML moved from +107 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 30.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +240 to +200
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-111o2½-108o2½-113o2½-109o2½-113o2½-108o2½-103
Underu2½-110u2½-105u2½-112u2½-107u2½-109u2½-107u2½-105u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.21%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 413.36%
Exactly 62.78%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.52%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 56.68%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 036.59%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.49%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 022.43%
Exactly 133.53%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 312.49%
Exactly 44.67%
Exactly 51.39%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.42%
Exactly 221.06%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 062.78%
Exactly 129.23%
Exactly 26.80%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 050.05%
Exactly 134.64%
Exactly 211.99%
Exactly 32.77%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals9.17%
Wins by 3+ goals2.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals24.33%
Wins by 3+ goals9.61%
Wins by 4+ goals3.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.77%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal16.21%
Wins by 2 goals6.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals14.72%
Wins by 3 goals6.56%
Wins by 4 goals2.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.79%8.21%
1.571.28%28.72%
2.545.63%54.37%
3.524.25%75.75%
4.510.89%89.11%
5.54.20%95.80%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.41%36.59%
1.526.62%73.38%
2.58.13%91.87%
3.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.57%22.43%
1.544.04%55.96%
2.518.99%81.01%
3.56.50%93.50%
4.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.58%31.42%
1.532.20%67.80%
2.511.15%88.85%
3.53.02%96.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Stoke City
Score012345
0
8.21%
12.27%
9.17%
4.57%
1.71%
0.51%
1
8.25%
12.33%
9.22%
4.59%
1.72%
0.51%
2
4.15%
6.20%
4.63%
2.31%
0.86%
0.26%
3
1.39%
2.08%
1.55%
0.77%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.35%
0.52%
0.39%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-08.25%
2-04.15%
2-16.20%
3-01.39%
3-12.08%
3-21.55%
4-00.35%
4-10.52%
4-20.39%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.21%
1-112.33%
2-24.63%
3-30.77%
Stoke City
0-112.27%
0-29.17%
1-29.22%
0-34.57%
1-34.59%
2-32.31%
0-41.71%
1-41.72%
2-40.86%
3-40.29%
0-50.51%
1-50.51%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
31.42%
21.75%
7.53%
1.74%
0.30%
1
14.63%
10.12%
3.50%
0.81%
0.14%
2
3.40%
2.36%
0.82%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.53%
0.37%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-014.63%
2-03.40%
2-12.36%
3-00.53%
3-10.37%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.42%
1-110.12%
2-20.82%
Stoke City
0-121.75%
0-27.53%
1-23.50%
0-31.74%
1-30.81%
2-30.19%
0-40.30%
1-40.14%
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