Southampton at Leeds United

Updated

Southampton

22.0%22.8%55.1%
Southampton WinDrawLeeds United Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.83
1Final Score 0

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 1-3 vs West Bromwich Albion-145
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+150
W 2-1 at Leeds United+425
L 1-0 vs Stoke City-130
L 0-5 at Leicester City+240
Leeds United
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Norwich City-170
T 0-0 at Norwich City+120
L 2-1 vs Southampton-175
L 0-4 at Queens Park Rangers-170
W 4-3 at Middlesbrough-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+205+230+225+230+238+230+238+241.2
Leeds United+135+127+125+128+122+128+128+135.8
Draw+215+238+220+242+238+242+242+253.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+215-+216-+190+220+220+241.2
Leeds United+130-+130-+110+130+130+135.8
Draw+235-+232-+225+230+232+253.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Leeds United: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +215 to +205
No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Leeds United: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +230 to +220
Leeds United ML moved from +130 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-111o2½-108o2½-115o2½-108o2½-115o2½-108o2½-104
Underu2½-110u2½-107u2½-112u2½-105u2½-110u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2½-105--o2½-105o2½-105o2½-104
Underu2½-115-u2½-115--u2½-115u2½-115u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.3%
 
No44.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.47%
Exactly 223.10%
Exactly 416.25%
Exactly 64.57%
Exactly 80.69%
 
Exactly 115.90%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.44%
Exactly 71.90%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 034.21%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.68%
Exactly 37.04%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 016.00%
Exactly 129.32%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 316.41%
Exactly 47.52%
Exactly 52.76%
Exactly 60.84%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.05%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 310.57%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 060.85%
Exactly 130.23%
Exactly 27.51%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 042.81%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.41%
Exactly 34.36%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals8.06%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals31.38%
Wins by 3+ goals14.48%
Wins by 4+ goals5.50%
Wins by 5+ goals1.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Leeds United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal13.87%
Wins by 2 goals5.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal23.70%
Wins by 2 goals16.90%
Wins by 3 goals8.98%
Wins by 4 goals3.76%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.53%5.47%
1.578.62%21.38%
2.555.52%44.48%
3.533.15%66.85%
4.516.91%83.09%
5.57.47%92.53%
6.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.79%34.21%
1.529.10%70.90%
2.59.42%90.58%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.00%16.00%
1.554.67%45.33%
2.527.81%72.19%
3.511.40%88.60%
4.53.88%96.12%
5.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.95%26.05%
1.538.91%61.09%
2.515.34%84.66%
3.54.77%95.23%
4.51.22%98.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Leeds United
Score012345
0
5.47%
10.03%
9.19%
5.61%
2.57%
0.94%
1
5.87%
10.76%
9.86%
6.02%
2.76%
1.01%
2
3.15%
5.77%
5.29%
3.23%
1.48%
0.54%
3
1.13%
2.06%
1.89%
1.15%
0.53%
0.19%
4
0.30%
0.55%
0.51%
0.31%
0.14%
0.05%
Southampton
1-05.87%
2-03.15%
2-15.77%
3-01.13%
3-12.06%
3-21.89%
4-00.30%
4-10.55%
4-20.51%
4-30.31%
Draw
0-05.47%
1-110.76%
2-25.29%
3-31.15%
4-40.14%
Leeds United
0-110.03%
0-29.19%
1-29.86%
0-35.61%
1-36.02%
2-33.23%
0-42.57%
1-42.76%
2-41.48%
3-40.53%
0-50.94%
1-51.01%
2-50.54%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Leeds United
Score01234
0
26.05%
22.10%
9.38%
2.65%
0.56%
1
12.94%
10.98%
4.66%
1.32%
0.28%
2
3.21%
2.73%
1.16%
0.33%
0.07%
3
0.53%
0.45%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Southampton
1-012.94%
2-03.21%
2-12.73%
3-00.53%
3-10.45%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-026.05%
1-110.98%
2-21.16%
Leeds United
0-122.10%
0-29.38%
1-24.66%
0-32.65%
1-31.32%
2-30.33%
0-40.56%
1-40.28%