Stoke City at Southampton

Updated

Stoke City

15.4%20.4%64.2%
WinDrawSouthampton Win
0.88Projected Goals 2.04
1Final Score 0

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Plymouth Argyle-130
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+170
L 0-3 at Swansea City+175
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+185
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+105
Southampton
Money Line
L 0-5 at Leicester City+240
L 1-2 at Cardiff City-330
W 0-3 vs Preston North End-340
W 2-3 vs Watford-255
W 1-2 vs Coventry City-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+460+314+295+285+311+285+314+316.2
Southampton-225-132-135-135-131-135-131-113.4
Draw+400+337+320+305+344+305+344+337.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+285---+315+300+315+316.2
Southampton-130----185-130-130-113.4
Draw+340---+320+325+325+337.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +295 to +285
Southampton ML moved from -120 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +310 to +300
Southampton ML moved from -155 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122o3½+117o3¼-102o3¼+100o3¼-102o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+109
Underu3+102u3½-137u3¼-118u3¼-120u3¼-114u3¼-120u3½-137u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.42%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 416.31%
Exactly 64.62%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.79%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.51%
Exactly 71.93%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 041.45%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.07%
Exactly 34.72%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 013.06%
Exactly 126.59%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.36%
Exactly 49.34%
Exactly 53.80%
Exactly 61.29%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.92%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 310.63%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 066.52%
Exactly 127.12%
Exactly 25.53%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 038.97%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.30%
Exactly 35.43%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals4.82%
Wins by 3+ goals1.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals39.73%
Wins by 3+ goals20.11%
Wins by 4+ goals8.42%
Wins by 5+ goals2.93%
Wins by 6+ goals0.83%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal10.53%
Wins by 2 goals3.67%
Wins by 3 goals0.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.33%
Wins by 2 goals19.61%
Wins by 3 goals11.69%
Wins by 4 goals5.48%
Wins by 5 goals2.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.67%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.58%5.42%
1.578.79%21.21%
2.555.77%44.23%
3.533.39%66.61%
4.517.08%82.92%
5.57.57%92.43%
6.52.94%97.06%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.55%41.45%
1.522.04%77.96%
2.55.97%94.03%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.94%13.06%
1.560.34%39.66%
2.533.29%66.71%
3.514.93%85.07%
4.55.59%94.41%
5.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.08%25.92%
1.539.08%60.92%
2.515.46%84.54%
3.54.83%95.17%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Southampton
Score012345
0
5.42%
11.02%
11.22%
7.61%
3.87%
1.58%
1
4.77%
9.71%
9.88%
6.70%
3.41%
1.39%
2
2.10%
4.27%
4.35%
2.95%
1.50%
0.61%
3
0.62%
1.25%
1.28%
0.87%
0.44%
0.18%
4
0.14%
0.28%
0.28%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
Stoke City
1-04.77%
2-02.10%
2-14.27%
3-00.62%
3-11.25%
3-21.28%
4-00.14%
4-10.28%
4-20.28%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-05.42%
1-19.71%
2-24.35%
3-30.87%
Southampton
0-111.02%
0-211.22%
1-29.88%
0-37.61%
1-36.70%
2-32.95%
0-43.87%
1-43.41%
2-41.50%
3-40.44%
0-51.58%
1-51.39%
2-50.61%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Southampton
Score012345
0
25.92%
24.43%
11.51%
3.62%
0.85%
0.16%
1
10.57%
9.96%
4.69%
1.47%
0.35%
0.07%
2
2.15%
2.03%
0.96%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-010.57%
2-02.15%
2-12.03%
3-00.29%
3-10.28%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.92%
1-19.96%
2-20.96%
Southampton
0-124.43%
0-211.51%
1-24.69%
0-33.62%
1-31.47%
2-30.30%
0-40.85%
1-40.35%
0-50.16%
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