Burnley at Swansea City

Updated

Burnley

44.9%27.4%27.6%
Burnley WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.35Projected Goals 1.00
2Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 1-0 at Stoke City+105
W 0-3 vs Birmingham City-175
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough+100
W 3-0 at Queens Park Rangers+125
W 0-3 vs Blackburn-130
Swansea City
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Watford-105
L 1-2 at Reading+155
T 3-3 at Coventry City+185
L 1-0 vs Norwich City+140
T 0-0 at Huddersfield+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+135+153+140+130+140+130+140+147.7
Swansea City+210+190+205+217+223+217+223+233.4
Draw+215+233+210+233+227+233+233+237.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+120---+120+145+145+147.7
Swansea City+175---+175+190+190+233.4
Draw+225---+225+235+235+237.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +155 to +148
Swansea City ML moved from +195 to +188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+118o2¼-112o2¼-106o2½+121o2¼-106o2¼-106o2½+127
Underu2½-110u2½-140u2¼-108u2¼-114u2½-136u2¼-114u2½-136u2½-127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+127
Under-----u2½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-117 to u2¼-103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.52%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 412.13%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.39%
Exactly 320.64%
Exactly 55.71%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 025.84%
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 310.67%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 50.98%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 036.84%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.37%
Exactly 36.11%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.66%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 053.44%
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 210.49%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 062.98%
Exactly 129.12%
Exactly 26.73%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals21.07%
Wins by 3+ goals7.70%
Wins by 4+ goals2.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals10.04%
Wins by 3+ goals2.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Swansea City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal23.78%
Wins by 2 goals13.37%
Wins by 3 goals5.45%
Wins by 4 goals1.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal17.55%
Wins by 2 goals7.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.48%9.52%
1.568.09%31.91%
2.541.77%58.23%
3.521.13%78.87%
4.58.99%91.01%
5.53.28%96.72%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.16%25.84%
1.539.19%60.81%
2.515.53%84.47%
3.54.86%95.14%
4.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.16%36.84%
1.526.37%73.63%
2.58.00%92.00%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.34%33.66%
1.529.69%70.31%
2.59.74%90.26%
3.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Swansea City
Score01234
0
9.52%
9.51%
4.75%
1.58%
0.39%
1
12.88%
12.86%
6.42%
2.14%
0.53%
2
8.72%
8.70%
4.35%
1.45%
0.36%
3
3.93%
3.93%
1.96%
0.65%
0.16%
4
1.33%
1.33%
0.66%
0.22%
0.06%
5
0.36%
0.36%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
Burnley
1-012.88%
2-08.72%
2-18.70%
3-03.93%
3-13.93%
3-21.96%
4-01.33%
4-11.33%
4-20.66%
4-30.22%
5-00.36%
5-10.36%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-09.52%
1-112.86%
2-24.35%
3-30.65%
Swansea City
0-19.51%
0-24.75%
1-26.42%
0-31.58%
1-32.14%
2-31.45%
0-40.39%
1-40.53%
2-40.36%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Swansea City
Score0123
0
33.66%
15.56%
3.60%
0.55%
1
21.09%
9.75%
2.25%
0.35%
2
6.61%
3.05%
0.71%
0.11%
3
1.38%
0.64%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.22%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-021.09%
2-06.61%
2-13.05%
3-01.38%
3-10.64%
3-20.15%
4-00.22%
Draw
0-033.66%
1-19.75%
2-20.71%
Swansea City
0-115.56%
0-23.60%
1-22.25%
0-30.55%
1-30.35%
2-30.11%
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