Middlesbrough at Birmingham City

Updated

Middlesbrough

37.7%28.8%33.6%
Middlesbrough WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.08
3Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 2-1 at Blackburn+130
W 1-4 vs Wigan Athletic-160
L 1-3 at Burnley+285
W 1-2 vs Luton Town-105
W 2-1 at Norwich City+230
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Hull City+105
L 0-3 at Burnley+550
W 2-3 vs Reading+105
T 0-0 at Blackpool+155
L 2-1 vs Sunderland+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+145+121+120+118+120+118+121+126.9
Birmingham City+195+255+245+253+264+253+264+275.4
Draw+215+228+225+225+231+225+231+241.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+115---+105+105+105+126.9
Birmingham City+190---+205+270+270+275.4
Draw+215---+220+240+240+241.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +120 to +112
Birmingham City ML moved from +261 to +253

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +120 to +105
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-140o2¼+105o2¼+100o2½+141o2¼+100o2¼+105o2½+147
Underu2¼-102u2+118u2¼-125u2¼-120u2½-156u2¼-120u2½-150u2½-147
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+147
Under-----u2½-147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.59%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.21%
Exactly 61.88%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.78%
Exactly 319.98%
Exactly 55.03%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 031.24%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 033.90%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.83%
Exactly 37.15%
Exactly 41.93%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.37%
Exactly 219.10%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 058.35%
Exactly 131.43%
Exactly 28.47%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 060.60%
Exactly 130.35%
Exactly 27.60%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals15.76%
Wins by 3+ goals5.07%
Wins by 4+ goals1.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals13.15%
Wins by 3+ goals3.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal21.88%
Wins by 2 goals10.69%
Wins by 3 goals3.77%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal20.35%
Wins by 2 goals9.24%
Wins by 3 goals3.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.41%10.59%
1.565.63%34.37%
2.538.93%61.07%
3.518.96%81.04%
4.57.75%92.25%
5.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.76%31.24%
1.532.41%67.59%
2.511.27%88.73%
3.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.10%33.90%
1.529.43%70.57%
2.59.59%90.41%
3.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.63%35.37%
1.527.87%72.13%
2.58.77%91.23%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
10.59%
11.46%
6.20%
2.23%
0.60%
0.13%
1
12.32%
13.33%
7.21%
2.60%
0.70%
0.15%
2
7.17%
7.75%
4.19%
1.51%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.78%
3.01%
1.63%
0.59%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.81%
0.87%
0.47%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-012.32%
2-07.17%
2-17.75%
3-02.78%
3-13.01%
3-21.63%
4-00.81%
4-10.87%
4-20.47%
4-30.17%
5-00.19%
5-10.20%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.59%
1-113.33%
2-24.19%
3-30.59%
Birmingham City
0-111.46%
0-26.20%
1-27.21%
0-32.23%
1-32.60%
2-31.51%
0-40.60%
1-40.70%
2-40.41%
3-40.16%
0-50.13%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
35.37%
17.71%
4.43%
0.74%
1
19.05%
9.54%
2.39%
0.40%
2
5.13%
2.57%
0.64%
0.11%
3
0.92%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-019.05%
2-05.13%
2-12.57%
3-00.92%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-035.37%
1-19.54%
2-20.64%
Birmingham City
0-117.71%
0-24.43%
1-22.39%
0-30.74%
1-30.40%
2-30.11%
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