Luton Town at Middlesbrough

Updated

Luton Town

23.3%25.4%51.3%
Luton Town WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.56
1Final Score 2

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Rotherham United-170
L 0-2 at Stoke City+290
W 1-0 at Blackpool+160
T 0-0 vs Reading+105
T 1-1 vs Sunderland+100
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 2-1 at Norwich City+230
W 3-0 at Blackpool+120
T 1-1 vs Bristol City-125
W 3-1 at Hull City+135
L 1-2 at Preston North End+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+332+308+285+265+327+265+327+339.3
Middlesbrough-114-103-105-110-104-110-103+101.8
Draw+264+249+245+240+251+240+251+261.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+325---+250+300+300+339.3
Middlesbrough-115----115-105-105+101.8
Draw+260---+220+245+245+261.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +270 to +260
Middlesbrough ML moved from +103 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +305 to +250
Middlesbrough ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+107o2¼-122o2¼-118o2½+113o2¼-118o2¼-118o2½+120
Underu2½-118u2½-127u2¼+102u2¼-102u2½-128u2¼-102u2½-127u2½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+120
Under-----u2½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.03%
Exactly 225.54%
Exactly 413.54%
Exactly 62.87%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.25%
Exactly 321.47%
Exactly 56.83%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 038.23%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.67%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 021.00%
Exactly 132.78%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 313.30%
Exactly 45.19%
Exactly 51.62%
Exactly 60.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.11%
Exactly 221.21%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 064.07%
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 26.35%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 048.55%
Exactly 135.08%
Exactly 212.67%
Exactly 33.05%
Exactly 40.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals8.08%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals26.57%
Wins by 3+ goals10.89%
Wins by 4+ goals3.59%
Wins by 5+ goals0.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal15.16%
Wins by 2 goals5.95%
Wins by 3 goals1.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal24.60%
Wins by 2 goals15.68%
Wins by 3 goals7.30%
Wins by 4 goals2.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.97%8.03%
1.571.72%28.28%
2.546.18%53.82%
3.524.72%75.28%
4.511.18%88.82%
5.54.35%95.65%
6.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.77%38.23%
1.525.01%74.99%
2.57.34%92.66%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.00%21.00%
1.546.22%53.78%
2.520.65%79.35%
3.57.35%92.65%
4.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.89%31.11%
1.532.57%67.43%
2.511.36%88.64%
3.53.10%96.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
8.03%
12.53%
9.78%
5.09%
1.98%
0.62%
1
7.72%
12.05%
9.40%
4.89%
1.91%
0.60%
2
3.71%
5.79%
4.52%
2.35%
0.92%
0.29%
3
1.19%
1.86%
1.45%
0.75%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.29%
0.45%
0.35%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Luton Town
1-07.72%
2-03.71%
2-15.79%
3-01.19%
3-11.86%
3-21.45%
4-00.29%
4-10.45%
4-20.35%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.03%
1-112.05%
2-24.52%
3-30.75%
Middlesbrough
0-112.53%
0-29.78%
1-29.40%
0-35.09%
1-34.89%
2-32.35%
0-41.98%
1-41.91%
2-40.92%
3-40.29%
0-50.62%
1-50.60%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
31.11%
22.47%
8.12%
1.96%
0.35%
1
13.85%
10.01%
3.61%
0.87%
0.16%
2
3.08%
2.23%
0.80%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.46%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-013.85%
2-03.08%
2-12.23%
3-00.46%
3-10.33%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.11%
1-110.01%
2-20.80%
Middlesbrough
0-122.47%
0-28.12%
1-23.61%
0-31.96%
1-30.87%
2-30.19%
0-40.35%
1-40.16%
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