Luton Town at Stoke City

Updated

Luton Town

27.3%27.1%45.6%
Luton Town WinDrawStoke City Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.38
0Final Score 2

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-0 at Blackpool+160
T 0-0 vs Reading+105
T 1-1 vs Sunderland+100
L 0-4 at Watford+225
W 1-0 at Norwich City+300
Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Birmingham City+100
W 1-0 at Wigan Athletic+160
L 1-3 at Norwich City+255
L 2-0 vs Coventry City+110
L 1-0 vs Rotherham United-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+173+295+280-+305-+305+316.2
Stoke City+183+101+100-+103-+103+108.6
Draw+213+246+230-+247-+247+256.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+200---+275+290+290+316.2
Stoke City+100----115+105+105+108.6
Draw+220---+205+225+225+256.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 20.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +258 to +249
Stoke City ML moved from +112 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +250 to +240
Stoke City ML moved from +120 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½+114o2¼-112-o2-157-o2-150o2-148
Underu2½-134u2½-134u2¼-108-u2+142-u2½-139u2+148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-148
Under-----u2+148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.18%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 412.44%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.93%
Exactly 320.84%
Exactly 55.94%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 036.63%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.47%
Exactly 36.18%
Exactly 41.55%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 025.07%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 311.07%
Exactly 43.83%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.10%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.46%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 062.82%
Exactly 129.21%
Exactly 26.79%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 052.70%
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 210.81%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals9.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals21.71%
Wins by 3+ goals8.08%
Wins by 4+ goals2.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal17.30%
Wins by 2 goals7.18%
Wins by 3 goals2.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal23.83%
Wins by 2 goals13.64%
Wins by 3 goals5.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.82%9.18%
1.568.89%31.11%
2.542.71%57.29%
3.521.87%78.13%
4.59.44%90.56%
5.53.49%96.51%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.37%36.63%
1.526.58%73.42%
2.58.11%91.89%
3.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.93%25.07%
1.540.25%59.75%
2.516.26%83.74%
3.55.19%94.81%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.90%33.10%
1.530.30%69.70%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.62%97.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Stoke City
Score012345
0
9.18%
12.71%
8.79%
4.05%
1.40%
0.39%
1
9.22%
12.76%
8.83%
4.07%
1.41%
0.39%
2
4.63%
6.41%
4.43%
2.04%
0.71%
0.20%
3
1.55%
2.14%
1.48%
0.68%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.39%
0.54%
0.37%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Luton Town
1-09.22%
2-04.63%
2-16.41%
3-01.55%
3-12.14%
3-21.48%
4-00.39%
4-10.54%
4-20.37%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.18%
1-112.76%
2-24.43%
3-30.68%
Stoke City
0-112.71%
0-28.79%
1-28.83%
0-34.05%
1-34.07%
2-32.04%
0-41.40%
1-41.41%
2-40.71%
3-40.24%
0-50.39%
1-50.39%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Stoke City
Score01234
0
33.10%
21.21%
6.79%
1.45%
0.23%
1
15.39%
9.86%
3.16%
0.67%
0.11%
2
3.58%
2.29%
0.73%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.55%
0.36%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-015.39%
2-03.58%
2-12.29%
3-00.55%
3-10.36%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.10%
1-19.86%
2-20.73%
Stoke City
0-121.21%
0-26.79%
1-23.16%
0-31.45%
1-30.67%
2-30.16%
0-40.23%
1-40.11%
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