Luton Town at Watford

Updated

Luton Town

24.3%26.2%49.5%
Luton Town WinDrawWatford Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.48
0Final Score 4

Watford

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-0 at Norwich City+300
W 1-3 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+285
T 3-3 vs Huddersfield-155
W 2-0 at Hull City+130
Watford
Money Line
L 0-3 at Millwall+180
W 1-2 vs Norwich City+165
L 1-3 at Blackpool+125
L 2-1 vs Swansea City-120
W 4-0 at Stoke City+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+265+256+245+230-+230+256+273.8
Watford+105+119+120+121-+121+121+130.0
Draw+225+230+210+205-+205+230+235.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+255---+225+225+225+273.8
Watford+110---+100+130+130+130.0
Draw+240---+210+225+225+235.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +225 to +215
Watford ML moved from +129 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +240 to +230
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½+118o2¼-112o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2½+131
Underu2¼+102u2½-138u2¼-108u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2½-138u2½-131
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+131
Under-----u2½-131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.72%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 412.87%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.27%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 56.28%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 038.49%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 022.66%
Exactly 133.64%
Exactly 224.97%
Exactly 312.36%
Exactly 44.59%
Exactly 51.36%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.32%
Exactly 220.62%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 064.27%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 050.29%
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 211.88%
Exactly 32.72%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals8.44%
Wins by 3+ goals2.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals24.84%
Wins by 3+ goals9.80%
Wins by 4+ goals3.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal15.80%
Wins by 2 goals6.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.57%
Wins by 2 goals15.04%
Wins by 3 goals6.70%
Wins by 4 goals2.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.28%8.72%
1.570.00%30.00%
2.544.05%55.95%
3.522.95%77.05%
4.510.09%89.91%
5.53.81%96.19%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.51%38.49%
1.524.76%75.24%
2.57.22%92.78%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.34%22.66%
1.543.70%56.30%
2.518.73%81.27%
3.56.37%93.63%
4.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.68%32.32%
1.531.17%68.83%
2.510.56%89.44%
3.52.80%97.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Watford
Score012345
0
8.72%
12.95%
9.61%
4.76%
1.77%
0.52%
1
8.33%
12.36%
9.18%
4.54%
1.69%
0.50%
2
3.98%
5.90%
4.38%
2.17%
0.80%
0.24%
3
1.27%
1.88%
1.39%
0.69%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.30%
0.45%
0.33%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Luton Town
1-08.33%
2-03.98%
2-15.90%
3-01.27%
3-11.88%
3-21.39%
4-00.30%
4-10.45%
4-20.33%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.72%
1-112.36%
2-24.38%
3-30.69%
Watford
0-112.95%
0-29.61%
1-29.18%
0-34.76%
1-34.54%
2-32.17%
0-41.77%
1-41.69%
2-40.80%
3-40.26%
0-50.52%
1-50.50%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Watford
Score01234
0
32.32%
22.22%
7.64%
1.75%
0.30%
1
14.29%
9.82%
3.38%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.16%
2.17%
0.75%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.47%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-014.29%
2-03.16%
2-12.17%
3-00.47%
3-10.32%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.32%
1-19.82%
2-20.75%
Watford
0-122.22%
0-27.64%
1-23.38%
0-31.75%
1-30.77%
2-30.17%
0-40.30%
1-40.13%
Wigan Athletic at QPR
Cardiff City at Swansea City