Watford at Millwall

Updated

Watford

28.2%28.6%43.2%
Watford WinDrawMillwall Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.26
0Final Score 3

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Norwich City+165
L 1-3 at Blackpool+125
L 2-1 vs Swansea City-120
W 4-0 at Stoke City+180
T 2-2 vs Sunderland+100
Millwall
Money Line
W 2-1 at Bristol City+190
W 0-2 vs Middlesbrough+180
T 1-1 at Rotherham United+190
L 1-2 at Blackburn+230
W 1-2 vs Blackpool-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+165+201+195+192-+192+201+225.2
Millwall+175+152+145+144-+144+152+156.5
Draw+210+221+205+205-+205+221+230.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+185---+165+180+180+225.2
Millwall+150---+140+160+160+156.5
Draw+235---+200+220+220+230.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +189 to +183
Millwall ML moved from +156 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +175 to +165
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+123o2¼-110o2¼-102-o2¼-102o2¼-102o2½+137
Underu2½-122u2½-145u2¼-110u2¼-118-u2¼-118u2½-145u2½-137
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+137
Under-----u2½-137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.87%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 410.98%
Exactly 61.80%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.12%
Exactly 319.80%
Exactly 54.88%
Exactly 70.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 038.33%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.63%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 028.36%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 39.46%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.79%
Exactly 218.89%
Exactly 41.66%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 064.14%
Exactly 128.48%
Exactly 26.32%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 055.80%
Exactly 132.55%
Exactly 29.50%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.03%
Wins by 3+ goals2.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals19.39%
Wins by 3+ goals6.71%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal18.13%
Wins by 2 goals7.34%
Wins by 3 goals2.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal23.82%
Wins by 2 goals12.68%
Wins by 3 goals4.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.13%10.87%
1.565.01%34.99%
2.538.24%61.76%
3.518.44%81.56%
4.57.46%92.54%
5.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.67%38.33%
1.524.92%75.08%
2.57.29%92.71%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.64%28.36%
1.535.90%64.10%
2.513.38%86.62%
3.53.92%96.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.21%35.79%
1.527.44%72.56%
2.58.54%91.46%
3.52.07%97.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Millwall
Score012345
0
10.87%
13.70%
8.63%
3.63%
1.14%
0.29%
1
10.42%
13.14%
8.28%
3.48%
1.10%
0.28%
2
5.00%
6.30%
3.97%
1.67%
0.53%
0.13%
3
1.60%
2.01%
1.27%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.38%
0.48%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-010.42%
2-05.00%
2-16.30%
3-01.60%
3-12.01%
3-21.27%
4-00.38%
4-10.48%
4-20.30%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.87%
1-113.14%
2-23.97%
3-30.53%
Millwall
0-113.70%
0-28.63%
1-28.28%
0-33.63%
1-33.48%
2-31.67%
0-41.14%
1-41.10%
2-40.53%
3-40.17%
0-50.29%
1-50.28%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Millwall
Score01234
0
35.79%
20.88%
6.09%
1.18%
0.17%
1
15.89%
9.27%
2.70%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.53%
2.06%
0.60%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.52%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-015.89%
2-03.53%
2-12.06%
3-00.52%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-035.79%
1-19.27%
2-20.60%
Millwall
0-120.88%
0-26.09%
1-22.70%
0-31.18%
1-30.53%
2-30.12%
0-40.17%