Watford at Millwall

Updated

Watford

28.2%28.6%43.2%
Watford WinDrawMillwall Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.26
0Final Score 3

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Norwich City+165
L 1-3 at Blackpool+125
L 2-1 vs Swansea City-120
W 4-0 at Stoke City+180
T 2-2 vs Sunderland+100
Millwall
Money Line
W 2-1 at Bristol City+190
W 0-2 vs Middlesbrough+180
T 1-1 at Rotherham United+190
L 1-2 at Blackburn+230
W 1-2 vs Blackpool-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+165+201+195+192-+192+201+225.2
Millwall+175+152+145+144-+144+152+156.5
Draw+210+221+205+205-+205+221+230.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+185---+165+180+180+225.2
Millwall+150---+140+160+160+156.5
Draw+235---+200+220+220+230.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +189 to +183
Millwall ML moved from +156 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +175 to +165
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+123o2¼-110o2¼-102-o2¼-102o2¼-102o2½+137
Underu2½-122u2½-145u2¼-110u2¼-118-u2¼-118u2½-145u2½-137
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+137
Under-----u2½-137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.87%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 410.98%
Exactly 61.80%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.12%
Exactly 319.80%
Exactly 54.88%
Exactly 70.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 038.33%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.63%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 028.36%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 39.46%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.79%
Exactly 218.89%
Exactly 41.66%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 064.14%
Exactly 128.48%
Exactly 26.32%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 055.80%
Exactly 132.55%
Exactly 29.50%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.03%
Wins by 3+ goals2.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals19.39%
Wins by 3+ goals6.71%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal18.13%
Wins by 2 goals7.34%
Wins by 3 goals2.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal23.82%
Wins by 2 goals12.68%
Wins by 3 goals4.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.13%10.87%
1.565.01%34.99%
2.538.24%61.76%
3.518.44%81.56%
4.57.46%92.54%
5.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.67%38.33%
1.524.92%75.08%
2.57.29%92.71%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.64%28.36%
1.535.90%64.10%
2.513.38%86.62%
3.53.92%96.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.21%35.79%
1.527.44%72.56%
2.58.54%91.46%
3.52.07%97.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Millwall
Score012345
0
10.87%
13.70%
8.63%
3.63%
1.14%
0.29%
1
10.42%
13.14%
8.28%
3.48%
1.10%
0.28%
2
5.00%
6.30%
3.97%
1.67%
0.53%
0.13%
3
1.60%
2.01%
1.27%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.38%
0.48%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-010.42%
2-05.00%
2-16.30%
3-01.60%
3-12.01%
3-21.27%
4-00.38%
4-10.48%
4-20.30%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.87%
1-113.14%
2-23.97%
3-30.53%
Millwall
0-113.70%
0-28.63%
1-28.28%
0-33.63%
1-33.48%
2-31.67%
0-41.14%
1-41.10%
2-40.53%
3-40.17%
0-50.29%
1-50.28%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Millwall
Score01234
0
35.79%
20.88%
6.09%
1.18%
0.17%
1
15.89%
9.27%
2.70%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.53%
2.06%
0.60%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.52%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-015.89%
2-03.53%
2-12.06%
3-00.52%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-035.79%
1-19.27%
2-20.60%
Millwall
0-120.88%
0-26.09%
1-22.70%
0-31.18%
1-30.53%
2-30.12%
0-40.17%
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