Preston at Birmingham City

Updated

Preston North End

33.4%29.4%37.2%
Preston WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.12
2Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Preston North End
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Norwich City+195
W 1-0 at Stoke City+270
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+375
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield-110
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 2-4 at Bristol City+240
L 3-1 vs Middlesbrough+270
L 1-0 vs Hull City+105
L 0-3 at Burnley+550
W 2-3 vs Reading+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Preston+170+245+240+225+217+225+245+255.1
Birmingham City+170+131+130+128+118+128+131+144.2
Draw+205+214+210+200+189+200+214+223.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Preston+225---+225+225+225+255.1
Birmingham City+135---+110+135+135+144.2
Draw+215---+190+215+215+223.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Preston: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Preston: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Preston: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Preston ML moved from +248 to +217
Birmingham City ML moved from +124 to +118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Preston: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Preston: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Preston: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Preston ML moved from +240 to +220
Birmingham City ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-120o2-115o2-112o2-114o2-112o2-112o2-106
Underu2¼-122u2+102u2-105u2-108u2-101u2-108u2+102u2+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-106
Under-----u2+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.55%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 410.44%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 124.94%
Exactly 319.36%
Exactly 54.51%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 035.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.15%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 032.76%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.82%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 41.53%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 061.72%
Exactly 129.78%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 059.65%
Exactly 130.82%
Exactly 27.96%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals12.79%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals15.05%
Wins by 3+ goals4.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Preston North End
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal20.54%
Wins by 2 goals9.09%
Wins by 3 goals2.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal22.00%
Wins by 2 goals10.42%
Wins by 3 goals3.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.45%11.55%
1.563.51%36.49%
2.536.60%63.40%
3.517.25%82.75%
4.56.80%93.20%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.73%35.27%
1.527.97%72.03%
2.58.82%91.18%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.24%32.76%
1.530.68%69.32%
2.510.28%89.72%
3.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.18%36.82%
1.526.39%73.61%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Preston
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
11.55%
12.89%
7.20%
2.68%
0.75%
0.17%
1
12.04%
13.44%
7.50%
2.79%
0.78%
0.17%
2
6.27%
7.00%
3.91%
1.45%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.18%
2.43%
1.36%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.57%
0.63%
0.35%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Preston North End
1-012.04%
2-06.27%
2-17.00%
3-02.18%
3-12.43%
3-21.36%
4-00.57%
4-10.63%
4-20.35%
4-30.13%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-011.55%
1-113.44%
2-23.91%
3-30.50%
Birmingham City
0-112.89%
0-27.20%
1-27.50%
0-32.68%
1-32.79%
2-31.45%
0-40.75%
1-40.78%
2-40.41%
3-40.14%
0-50.17%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Preston
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
36.82%
19.02%
4.91%
0.85%
0.11%
1
17.76%
9.18%
2.37%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.29%
2.21%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.69%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Preston North End
1-017.76%
2-04.29%
2-12.21%
3-00.69%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-036.82%
1-19.18%
2-20.57%
Birmingham City
0-119.02%
0-24.91%
1-22.37%
0-30.85%
1-30.41%
0-40.11%
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