Burnley at Bristol City

Updated

Burnley

54.7%24.1%21.2%
Burnley WinDrawBristol City Win
1.69Projected Goals 0.95
2Final Score 1

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 1-0 at Blackburn+120
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers-280
T 2-2 at Rotherham United-150
T 0-0 at Reading-195
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United+125
Bristol City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Rotherham United+100
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+625
L 0-2 at Watford+290
T 2-2 vs Middlesbrough+265
W 2-1 at Stoke City+480

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+105+109+100+108-+108+109+127.2
Bristol City+260+260+260+215-+215+260+244.1
Draw+235+253+255+240-+240+255+271.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley-125----110+105+105+127.2
Bristol City+260---+230+255+255+244.1
Draw+240---+230+255+255+271.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +110 to +100
Bristol City ML moved from +260 to +250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
Bristol City ML moved from +250 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-113o2½-110o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½-115u2½-103u2½-110u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-103u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.10%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 414.48%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.79%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.66%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 018.45%
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.84%
Exactly 46.27%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 038.49%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.39%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 045.73%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 214.00%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 064.27%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals29.95%
Wins by 3+ goals13.13%
Wins by 4+ goals4.70%
Wins by 5+ goals1.40%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals7.25%
Wins by 3+ goals1.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.67%
Wins by 2 goals16.82%
Wins by 3 goals8.42%
Wins by 4 goals3.31%
Wins by 5 goals1.06%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal13.94%
Wins by 2 goals5.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.90%7.10%
1.574.11%25.89%
2.549.27%50.73%
3.527.37%72.63%
4.512.90%87.10%
5.55.24%94.76%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.55%18.45%
1.550.36%49.64%
2.524.01%75.99%
3.59.17%90.83%
4.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.51%38.49%
1.524.76%75.24%
2.57.22%92.78%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.61%29.39%
1.534.62%65.38%
2.512.59%87.41%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Bristol City
Score01234
0
7.10%
6.78%
3.24%
1.03%
0.25%
1
12.00%
11.46%
5.47%
1.74%
0.42%
2
10.14%
9.68%
4.62%
1.47%
0.35%
3
5.71%
5.45%
2.60%
0.83%
0.20%
4
2.41%
2.30%
1.10%
0.35%
0.08%
5
0.82%
0.78%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
Burnley
1-012.00%
2-010.14%
2-19.68%
3-05.71%
3-15.45%
3-22.60%
4-02.41%
4-12.30%
4-21.10%
4-30.35%
5-00.82%
5-10.78%
5-20.37%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.10%
1-111.46%
2-24.62%
3-30.83%
Bristol City
0-16.78%
0-23.24%
1-25.47%
0-31.03%
1-31.74%
2-31.47%
0-40.25%
1-40.42%
2-40.35%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Bristol City
Score0123
0
29.39%
12.99%
2.87%
0.42%
1
23.00%
10.17%
2.25%
0.33%
2
9.00%
3.98%
0.88%
0.13%
3
2.35%
1.04%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.46%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
Burnley
1-023.00%
2-09.00%
2-13.98%
3-02.35%
3-11.04%
3-20.23%
4-00.46%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-029.39%
1-110.17%
2-20.88%
Bristol City
0-112.99%
0-22.87%
1-22.25%
0-30.42%
1-30.33%
2-30.13%