Burnley at Bristol City

Updated

Burnley

54.7%24.1%21.2%
Burnley WinDrawBristol City Win
1.69Projected Goals 0.95
2Final Score 1

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 1-0 at Blackburn+120
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers-280
T 2-2 at Rotherham United-150
T 0-0 at Reading-195
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United+125
Bristol City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Rotherham United+100
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+625
L 0-2 at Watford+290
T 2-2 vs Middlesbrough+265
W 2-1 at Stoke City+480

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+105+109+100+108-+108+109+127.2
Bristol City+260+260+260+215-+215+260+244.1
Draw+235+253+255+240-+240+255+271.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley-125----110+105+105+127.2
Bristol City+260---+230+255+255+244.1
Draw+240---+230+255+255+271.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +110 to +100
Bristol City ML moved from +260 to +250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
Bristol City ML moved from +250 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-113o2½-110o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½-115u2½-103u2½-110u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-103u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.10%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 414.48%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.79%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.66%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 018.45%
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.84%
Exactly 46.27%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 038.49%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.39%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 045.73%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 214.00%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 064.27%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals29.95%
Wins by 3+ goals13.13%
Wins by 4+ goals4.70%
Wins by 5+ goals1.40%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals7.25%
Wins by 3+ goals1.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.67%
Wins by 2 goals16.82%
Wins by 3 goals8.42%
Wins by 4 goals3.31%
Wins by 5 goals1.06%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal13.94%
Wins by 2 goals5.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.90%7.10%
1.574.11%25.89%
2.549.27%50.73%
3.527.37%72.63%
4.512.90%87.10%
5.55.24%94.76%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.55%18.45%
1.550.36%49.64%
2.524.01%75.99%
3.59.17%90.83%
4.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.51%38.49%
1.524.76%75.24%
2.57.22%92.78%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.61%29.39%
1.534.62%65.38%
2.512.59%87.41%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Bristol City
Score01234
0
7.10%
6.78%
3.24%
1.03%
0.25%
1
12.00%
11.46%
5.47%
1.74%
0.42%
2
10.14%
9.68%
4.62%
1.47%
0.35%
3
5.71%
5.45%
2.60%
0.83%
0.20%
4
2.41%
2.30%
1.10%
0.35%
0.08%
5
0.82%
0.78%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
Burnley
1-012.00%
2-010.14%
2-19.68%
3-05.71%
3-15.45%
3-22.60%
4-02.41%
4-12.30%
4-21.10%
4-30.35%
5-00.82%
5-10.78%
5-20.37%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.10%
1-111.46%
2-24.62%
3-30.83%
Bristol City
0-16.78%
0-23.24%
1-25.47%
0-31.03%
1-31.74%
2-31.47%
0-40.25%
1-40.42%
2-40.35%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Bristol City
Score0123
0
29.39%
12.99%
2.87%
0.42%
1
23.00%
10.17%
2.25%
0.33%
2
9.00%
3.98%
0.88%
0.13%
3
2.35%
1.04%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.46%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
Burnley
1-023.00%
2-09.00%
2-13.98%
3-02.35%
3-11.04%
3-20.23%
4-00.46%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-029.39%
1-110.17%
2-20.88%
Bristol City
0-112.99%
0-22.87%
1-22.25%
0-30.42%
1-30.33%
2-30.13%
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