Burnley at Reading

Updated

Burnley

57.7%23.2%19.1%
Burnley WinDrawWin
1.78Projected Goals 0.91
0Final Score 0

Reading

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United+125
W 2-1 at Middlesbrough+150
T 0-0 vs Sunderland-235
W 3-1 at Hull City-155
W 0-3 vs Wigan Athletic-290
Reading
Money Line
L 1-2 at Preston North End+405
T 1-1 vs Birmingham City+190
T 1-1 at Bristol City+395
T 1-1 vs Hull City+190
L 1-2 at Blackburn+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley-150-193-200-196-189-196-189-160.5
Reading+480+616+575+540+617+540+617+587.9
Draw+274+314+310+290+314+290+314+319.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley-180----230-195-195-160.5
Reading+565---+550+610+610+587.9
Draw+290---+260+300+300+319.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Reading: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from -188 to -195
Reading ML moved from +550 to +540

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Reading: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from -215 to -230
Reading ML moved from +510 to +500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+112o2½+107o2¼-122o2¼-115o2½+118o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2½-132u2½-127u2¼+102u2¼-105u2½-133u2¼-105u2½-127u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.79%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 414.81%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.26%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 016.94%
Exactly 130.08%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 315.80%
Exactly 47.01%
Exactly 52.49%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 040.05%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.77%
Exactly 35.11%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.78%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 043.96%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.85%
Exactly 34.07%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 065.47%
Exactly 127.73%
Exactly 25.87%
Exactly 30.83%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals32.74%
Wins by 3+ goals14.95%
Wins by 4+ goals5.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.74%
Reading
Wins by 2+ goals6.30%
Wins by 3+ goals1.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Reading
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.87%
Wins by 2 goals17.80%
Wins by 3 goals9.36%
Wins by 4 goals3.85%
Wins by 5 goals1.30%
Reading
Wins by 1 goal12.82%
Wins by 2 goals4.72%
Wins by 3 goals1.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.21%6.79%
1.574.96%25.04%
2.550.40%49.60%
3.528.38%71.62%
4.513.56%86.44%
5.55.60%94.40%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.06%16.94%
1.552.98%47.02%
2.526.28%73.72%
3.510.48%89.52%
4.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.95%40.05%
1.523.30%76.70%
2.56.53%93.47%
3.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.22%28.78%
1.535.38%64.62%
2.513.05%86.95%
3.53.79%96.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Reading
Score01234
0
6.79%
6.21%
2.84%
0.87%
0.20%
1
12.05%
11.02%
5.04%
1.54%
0.35%
2
10.69%
9.78%
4.48%
1.37%
0.31%
3
6.33%
5.79%
2.65%
0.81%
0.18%
4
2.81%
2.57%
1.18%
0.36%
0.08%
5
1.00%
0.91%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
Burnley
1-012.05%
2-010.69%
2-19.78%
3-06.33%
3-15.79%
3-22.65%
4-02.81%
4-12.57%
4-21.18%
4-30.36%
5-01.00%
5-10.91%
5-20.42%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.79%
1-111.02%
2-24.48%
3-30.81%
Reading
0-16.21%
0-22.84%
1-25.04%
0-30.87%
1-31.54%
2-31.37%
0-40.20%
1-40.35%
2-40.31%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Reading
Score0123
0
28.78%
12.19%
2.58%
0.36%
1
23.65%
10.02%
2.12%
0.30%
2
9.72%
4.12%
0.87%
0.12%
3
2.66%
1.13%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.55%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
Burnley
1-023.65%
2-09.72%
2-14.12%
3-02.66%
3-11.13%
3-20.24%
4-00.55%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-028.78%
1-110.02%
2-20.87%
Reading
0-112.19%
0-22.58%
1-22.12%
0-30.36%
1-30.30%
2-30.12%