Burnley at Middlesbrough

Updated

Burnley

30.6%28.6%40.8%
Burnley WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.22
2Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Sunderland-235
W 3-1 at Hull City-155
W 0-3 vs Wigan Athletic-290
T 0-0 at Blackpool-190
W 0-4 vs Huddersfield-300
Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 2-4 at Huddersfield-145
W 0-4 vs Preston North End-190
T 1-1 vs Stoke City-145
W 3-1 at Swansea City+115
W 0-5 vs Reading-265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+172+163+170+163+171+163+171+183.8
Middlesbrough+169+173+160+147+170+147+173+166.6
Draw+234+241+230+240+243+240+243+266.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+170---+135+150+150+183.8
Middlesbrough+165---+150+180+180+166.6
Draw+230---+230+240+240+266.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +168 to +161
Middlesbrough ML moved from +184 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +160 to +150
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o2½-106o2½+100o2½-101o2½+106o2½-101o2½+106o2½+108
Underu2½-125u2½-112u2½-120u2½-119u2½-121u2½-119u2½-112u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+108
Under-----u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.60%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 411.20%
Exactly 61.88%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.79%
Exactly 319.97%
Exactly 55.03%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 036.05%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.76%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 029.41%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.38%
Exactly 219.10%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.61%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 062.35%
Exactly 129.45%
Exactly 26.96%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 056.74%
Exactly 132.15%
Exactly 29.11%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals11.43%
Wins by 3+ goals3.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals17.80%
Wins by 3+ goals5.99%
Wins by 4+ goals1.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal19.13%
Wins by 2 goals8.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals11.81%
Wins by 3 goals4.39%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.40%10.60%
1.565.61%34.39%
2.538.91%61.09%
3.518.94%81.06%
4.57.74%92.26%
5.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.95%36.05%
1.527.17%72.83%
2.58.41%91.59%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.59%29.41%
1.534.60%65.40%
2.512.57%87.43%
3.53.59%96.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.62%35.38%
1.527.86%72.14%
2.58.76%91.24%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
10.60%
12.98%
7.94%
3.24%
0.99%
0.24%
1
10.82%
13.24%
8.10%
3.30%
1.01%
0.25%
2
5.52%
6.75%
4.13%
1.69%
0.52%
0.13%
3
1.88%
2.30%
1.41%
0.57%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.48%
0.59%
0.36%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Burnley
1-010.82%
2-05.52%
2-16.75%
3-01.88%
3-12.30%
3-21.41%
4-00.48%
4-10.59%
4-20.36%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.60%
1-113.24%
2-24.13%
3-30.57%
Middlesbrough
0-112.98%
0-27.94%
1-28.10%
0-33.24%
1-33.30%
2-31.69%
0-40.99%
1-41.01%
2-40.52%
3-40.18%
0-50.24%
1-50.25%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
35.38%
20.05%
5.68%
1.07%
0.15%
1
16.71%
9.47%
2.68%
0.51%
0.07%
2
3.95%
2.24%
0.63%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-016.71%
2-03.95%
2-12.24%
3-00.62%
3-10.35%
Draw
0-035.38%
1-19.47%
2-20.63%
Middlesbrough
0-120.05%
0-25.68%
1-22.68%
0-31.07%
1-30.51%
2-30.12%
0-40.15%