Burnley at Middlesbrough

Updated

Burnley

30.6%28.6%40.8%
Burnley WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.22
2Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Sunderland-235
W 3-1 at Hull City-155
W 0-3 vs Wigan Athletic-290
T 0-0 at Blackpool-190
W 0-4 vs Huddersfield-300
Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 2-4 at Huddersfield-145
W 0-4 vs Preston North End-190
T 1-1 vs Stoke City-145
W 3-1 at Swansea City+115
W 0-5 vs Reading-265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+172+163+170+163+171+163+171+183.8
Middlesbrough+169+173+160+147+170+147+173+166.6
Draw+234+241+230+240+243+240+243+266.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+170---+135+150+150+183.8
Middlesbrough+165---+150+180+180+166.6
Draw+230---+230+240+240+266.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +168 to +161
Middlesbrough ML moved from +184 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +160 to +150
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o2½-106o2½+100o2½-101o2½+106o2½-101o2½+106o2½+108
Underu2½-125u2½-112u2½-120u2½-119u2½-121u2½-119u2½-112u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+108
Under-----u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.60%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 411.20%
Exactly 61.88%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.79%
Exactly 319.97%
Exactly 55.03%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 036.05%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.76%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 029.41%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.38%
Exactly 219.10%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.61%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 062.35%
Exactly 129.45%
Exactly 26.96%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 056.74%
Exactly 132.15%
Exactly 29.11%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals11.43%
Wins by 3+ goals3.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals17.80%
Wins by 3+ goals5.99%
Wins by 4+ goals1.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal19.13%
Wins by 2 goals8.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals11.81%
Wins by 3 goals4.39%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.40%10.60%
1.565.61%34.39%
2.538.91%61.09%
3.518.94%81.06%
4.57.74%92.26%
5.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.95%36.05%
1.527.17%72.83%
2.58.41%91.59%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.59%29.41%
1.534.60%65.40%
2.512.57%87.43%
3.53.59%96.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.62%35.38%
1.527.86%72.14%
2.58.76%91.24%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
10.60%
12.98%
7.94%
3.24%
0.99%
0.24%
1
10.82%
13.24%
8.10%
3.30%
1.01%
0.25%
2
5.52%
6.75%
4.13%
1.69%
0.52%
0.13%
3
1.88%
2.30%
1.41%
0.57%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.48%
0.59%
0.36%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Burnley
1-010.82%
2-05.52%
2-16.75%
3-01.88%
3-12.30%
3-21.41%
4-00.48%
4-10.59%
4-20.36%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.60%
1-113.24%
2-24.13%
3-30.57%
Middlesbrough
0-112.98%
0-27.94%
1-28.10%
0-33.24%
1-33.30%
2-31.69%
0-40.99%
1-41.01%
2-40.52%
3-40.18%
0-50.24%
1-50.25%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
35.38%
20.05%
5.68%
1.07%
0.15%
1
16.71%
9.47%
2.68%
0.51%
0.07%
2
3.95%
2.24%
0.63%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-016.71%
2-03.95%
2-12.24%
3-00.62%
3-10.35%
Draw
0-035.38%
1-19.47%
2-20.63%
Middlesbrough
0-120.05%
0-25.68%
1-22.68%
0-31.07%
1-30.51%
2-30.12%
0-40.15%
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