Stoke City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Stoke City

17.4%22.9%59.7%
WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.79
1Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 5-1 at Sunderland+230
L 1-0 vs Millwall+130
W 3-1 at Swansea City+240
L 0-1 at Blackpool+135
W 0-3 vs Huddersfield-120
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 3-1 at Swansea City+115
W 0-5 vs Reading-265
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+235
W 1-3 vs Queens Park Rangers-175
W 3-1 at Sheffield United+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+360+409+400+355+412+355+412+392.0
Middlesbrough-130-143-150-149-139-149-139-123.9
Draw+260+292+285+280+299+280+299+310.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+350---+350+400+400+392.0
Middlesbrough-125----165-145-145-123.9
Draw+265---+255+285+285+310.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +421 to +414
Middlesbrough ML moved from -133 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +410 to +395
Middlesbrough ML moved from -150 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-117o2½-115o2½-113o2½-109o2½-113o2½-109o2½-103
Underu2½-115u2½-101u2½-105u2½-107u2½-106u2½-107u2½-101u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.12%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 414.46%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.81%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.64%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 042.77%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.42%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 016.64%
Exactly 129.84%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 315.99%
Exactly 47.17%
Exactly 52.57%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.42%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 067.49%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 043.59%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.02%
Exactly 34.16%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals5.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals34.38%
Wins by 3+ goals15.90%
Wins by 4+ goals6.02%
Wins by 5+ goals1.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal11.98%
Wins by 2 goals4.14%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal25.29%
Wins by 2 goals18.48%
Wins by 3 goals9.88%
Wins by 4 goals4.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.41%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.88%7.12%
1.574.07%25.93%
2.549.22%50.78%
3.527.33%72.67%
4.512.86%87.14%
5.55.22%94.78%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.23%42.77%
1.520.90%79.10%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.36%16.64%
1.553.51%46.49%
2.526.76%73.24%
3.510.76%89.24%
4.53.59%96.41%
5.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.58%29.42%
1.534.58%65.42%
2.512.56%87.44%
3.53.58%96.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
7.12%
12.77%
11.45%
6.84%
3.07%
1.10%
1
6.05%
10.84%
9.72%
5.81%
2.60%
0.93%
2
2.57%
4.60%
4.13%
2.47%
1.11%
0.40%
3
0.73%
1.30%
1.17%
0.70%
0.31%
0.11%
4
0.15%
0.28%
0.25%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-06.05%
2-02.57%
2-14.60%
3-00.73%
3-11.30%
3-21.17%
4-00.15%
4-10.28%
4-20.25%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-07.12%
1-110.84%
2-24.13%
3-30.70%
Middlesbrough
0-112.77%
0-211.45%
1-29.72%
0-36.84%
1-35.81%
2-32.47%
0-43.07%
1-42.60%
2-41.11%
3-40.31%
0-51.10%
1-50.93%
2-50.40%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
29.42%
24.43%
10.14%
2.81%
0.58%
1
11.57%
9.60%
3.99%
1.10%
0.23%
2
2.27%
1.89%
0.78%
0.22%
0.05%
3
0.30%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-011.57%
2-02.27%
2-11.89%
3-00.30%
3-10.25%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-029.42%
1-19.60%
2-20.78%
Middlesbrough
0-124.43%
0-210.14%
1-23.99%
0-32.81%
1-31.10%
2-30.22%
0-40.58%
1-40.23%
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