Swansea City at Bristol City

Updated

Swansea City

39.4%27.8%32.8%
Swansea City WinDrawBristol City Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 0

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Stoke City+200
L 1-2 at Blackburn+260
L 0-2 at Brentford+378
T 1-1 vs Barnsley+180
W 1-0 at Barnsley+285
Bristol City
Money Line
W 3-2 at Reading+240
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+335
L 3-1 vs Brentford+430
L 1-4 at Millwall+335
L 3-2 vs Luton Town+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+180-+245+255+238+255+255-
Bristol City+165-+120+125+120+125+125-
Draw+225-+220+215+224+215+224-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+230---+200+260+260-
Bristol City+135---+120+120+120-
Draw+210---+190+215+215-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +249 to +238
Bristol City ML moved from +135 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +240 to +230
Bristol City ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140-o2½+125o2¼-111-o2¼-111o2¼-111-
Underu2+115-u2½-150u2¼-109-u2¼-109u2½-150-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-140 to o2½+120
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.57%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 412.09%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.46%
Exactly 320.61%
Exactly 55.67%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 027.77%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 39.74%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 034.47%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.55%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.74%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 055.25%
Exactly 132.78%
Exactly 29.72%
Exactly 31.92%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 061.07%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals18.57%
Wins by 3+ goals6.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals11.79%
Wins by 3+ goals3.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal22.77%
Wins by 2 goals12.10%
Wins by 3 goals4.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal18.92%
Wins by 2 goals8.36%
Wins by 3 goals2.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.43%9.57%
1.567.97%32.03%
2.541.62%58.38%
3.521.01%78.99%
4.58.93%91.07%
5.53.25%96.75%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.23%27.77%
1.536.66%63.34%
2.513.86%86.14%
3.54.13%95.87%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.53%34.47%
1.528.81%71.19%
2.59.26%90.74%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.26%33.74%
1.529.60%70.40%
2.59.69%90.31%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Bristol City
Score012345
0
9.57%
10.19%
5.43%
1.93%
0.51%
0.11%
1
12.27%
13.06%
6.96%
2.47%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.86%
8.37%
4.46%
1.58%
0.42%
0.09%
3
3.36%
3.57%
1.90%
0.68%
0.18%
0.04%
4
1.08%
1.15%
0.61%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.28%
0.29%
0.16%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-012.27%
2-07.86%
2-18.37%
3-03.36%
3-13.57%
3-21.90%
4-01.08%
4-11.15%
4-20.61%
4-30.22%
5-00.28%
5-10.29%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.57%
1-113.06%
2-24.46%
3-30.68%
Bristol City
0-110.19%
0-25.43%
1-26.96%
0-31.93%
1-32.47%
2-31.58%
0-40.51%
1-40.66%
2-40.42%
3-40.18%
0-50.11%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Bristol City
Score0123
0
33.74%
16.64%
4.10%
0.67%
1
20.02%
9.87%
2.43%
0.40%
2
5.94%
2.93%
0.72%
0.12%
3
1.17%
0.58%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-020.02%
2-05.94%
2-12.93%
3-01.17%
3-10.58%
3-20.14%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-033.74%
1-19.87%
2-20.72%
Bristol City
0-116.64%
0-24.10%
1-22.43%
0-30.67%
1-30.40%
2-30.12%
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