Stoke City at Swansea City

Updated

Stoke City

24.0%22.7%53.3%
Stoke City WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.80
3Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Birmingham City+160
W 2-3 vs Reading+105
W 2-0 at Bournemouth+370
L 2-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+220
Swansea City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Blackburn+260
L 0-2 at Brentford+378
T 1-1 vs Barnsley+180
W 1-0 at Barnsley+285
L 0-2 at Watford+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+185-+140+142+137+142+142-
Swansea City+145-+205+220+211+220+220-
Draw+225-+215+210+215+210+215-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+155---+120+150+150-
Swansea City+195---+200+200+200-
Draw+210---+195+215+215-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +144 to +137
Swansea City ML moved from +211 to +204

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +135 to +120
Swansea City ML moved from +210 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115-o2-140o2¼+101-o2¼+101o2-140-
Underu2¼-105-u2+115u2¼-121-u2¼-121u2¼-121-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.34%
Exactly 225.04%
Exactly 414.23%
Exactly 63.23%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.18%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 57.43%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 044.38%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.64%
Exactly 33.97%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 016.55%
Exactly 129.77%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 316.05%
Exactly 47.22%
Exactly 52.60%
Exactly 60.78%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.85%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 068.65%
Exactly 125.82%
Exactly 24.86%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 043.48%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 215.08%
Exactly 34.19%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals4.97%
Wins by 3+ goals1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals35.21%
Wins by 3+ goals16.37%
Wins by 4+ goals6.23%
Wins by 5+ goals1.97%
Wins by 6+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal11.53%
Wins by 2 goals3.84%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal25.52%
Wins by 2 goals18.84%
Wins by 3 goals10.14%
Wins by 4 goals4.26%
Wins by 5 goals1.46%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.66%7.34%
1.573.48%26.52%
2.548.44%51.56%
3.526.64%73.36%
4.512.42%87.58%
5.54.99%95.01%
6.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.62%44.38%
1.519.57%80.43%
2.54.92%95.08%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.45%16.55%
1.553.68%46.32%
2.526.91%73.09%
3.510.85%89.15%
4.53.63%96.37%
5.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.15%29.85%
1.534.06%65.94%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.46%96.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score012345
0
7.34%
13.21%
11.88%
7.13%
3.20%
1.15%
1
5.97%
10.73%
9.65%
5.79%
2.60%
0.94%
2
2.42%
4.36%
3.92%
2.35%
1.06%
0.38%
3
0.66%
1.18%
1.06%
0.64%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.13%
0.24%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-05.97%
2-02.42%
2-14.36%
3-00.66%
3-11.18%
3-21.06%
4-00.13%
4-10.24%
4-20.22%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.34%
1-110.73%
2-23.92%
3-30.64%
Swansea City
0-113.21%
0-211.88%
1-29.65%
0-37.13%
1-35.79%
2-32.35%
0-43.20%
1-42.60%
2-41.06%
3-40.29%
0-51.15%
1-50.94%
2-50.38%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score01234
0
29.85%
24.86%
10.35%
2.87%
0.60%
1
11.23%
9.35%
3.89%
1.08%
0.23%
2
2.11%
1.76%
0.73%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.26%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-011.23%
2-02.11%
2-11.76%
3-00.26%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-029.85%
1-19.35%
2-20.73%
Swansea City
0-124.86%
0-210.35%
1-23.89%
0-32.87%
1-31.08%
2-30.20%
0-40.60%
1-40.23%
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