Southampton at Watford

Updated

Southampton

28.2%26.3%45.5%
Southampton WinDrawWatford Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.45
1Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Cardiff City-150
W 0-1 vs Bristol City-155
T 1-1 at Huddersfield-130
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion-110
W 1-0 at Millwall+100
Watford
Money Line
W 2-1 at Hull City+255
W 2-3 vs Norwich City+115
L 0-2 at Leicester City+425
W 0-5 vs Rotherham United-245
T 0-0 at Huddersfield+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+140+145+140+144+147+144+147+163.5
Watford+203+192+185+176+188+176+192+198.0
Draw+240+245+240+225+245+225+245+251.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+135---+110+125+125+163.5
Watford+205---+195+220+220+198.0
Draw+240---+220+240+240+251.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +127 to +121
Watford ML moved from +194 to +188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Watford: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Watford: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-107o2½-117o2½-115o2½-119o2½-109o2½-119o2½-109o2½-108
Underu2½-109u2½-101u2½-105u2½-101u2½-109u2½-101u2½-101u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-108
Under-----u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.01%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 413.55%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.22%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 56.84%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 034.02%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 023.55%
Exactly 134.05%
Exactly 224.62%
Exactly 311.87%
Exactly 44.29%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.08%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.27%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 060.70%
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 27.56%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 051.20%
Exactly 134.28%
Exactly 211.47%
Exactly 32.56%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals10.72%
Wins by 3+ goals3.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals22.16%
Wins by 3+ goals8.49%
Wins by 4+ goals2.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal17.37%
Wins by 2 goals7.60%
Wins by 3 goals2.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.29%
Wins by 2 goals13.67%
Wins by 3 goals5.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.99%8.01%
1.571.77%28.23%
2.546.24%53.76%
3.524.76%75.24%
4.511.21%88.79%
5.54.37%95.63%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.98%34.02%
1.529.30%70.70%
2.59.52%90.48%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.45%23.55%
1.542.40%57.60%
2.517.77%82.23%
3.55.91%94.09%
4.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.92%31.08%
1.532.61%67.39%
2.511.38%88.62%
3.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Watford
Score012345
0
8.01%
11.58%
8.38%
4.04%
1.46%
0.42%
1
8.64%
12.49%
9.03%
4.35%
1.57%
0.46%
2
4.66%
6.73%
4.87%
2.35%
0.85%
0.25%
3
1.67%
2.42%
1.75%
0.84%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.45%
0.65%
0.47%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Southampton
1-08.64%
2-04.66%
2-16.73%
3-01.67%
3-12.42%
3-21.75%
4-00.45%
4-10.65%
4-20.47%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-08.01%
1-112.49%
2-24.87%
3-30.84%
Watford
0-111.58%
0-28.38%
1-29.03%
0-34.04%
1-34.35%
2-32.35%
0-41.46%
1-41.57%
2-40.85%
3-40.30%
0-50.42%
1-50.46%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Watford
Score01234
0
31.08%
20.81%
6.96%
1.55%
0.26%
1
15.51%
10.39%
3.48%
0.78%
0.13%
2
3.87%
2.59%
0.87%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.64%
0.43%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Southampton
1-015.51%
2-03.87%
2-12.59%
3-00.64%
3-10.43%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.08%
1-110.39%
2-20.87%
Watford
0-120.81%
0-26.96%
1-23.48%
0-31.55%
1-30.78%
2-30.19%
0-40.26%
1-40.13%
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