Southampton at Millwall

Updated

Southampton

32.9%28.0%39.1%
Southampton WinDrawMillwall Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 0

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Birmingham City-170
T 2-2 at Preston North End+130
W 2-1 at Hull City+140
T 1-1 vs Rotherham United-350
W 1-0 at Stoke City+155
Millwall
Money Line
T 2-2 at Watford+285
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+165
T 1-1 at Preston North End+210
T 2-2 vs Hull City+140
W 2-0 at Plymouth Argyle+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+126+112+105-101+100-101+112+117.1
Millwall+219+253+255+240+240+240+255+270.8
Draw+251+252+230+240+235+240+252+270.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+115----120+100+100+117.1
Millwall+230---+240+255+255+270.8
Draw+250---+250+270+270+270.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Millwall: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +100 to -101
Millwall ML moved from +259 to +253

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Millwall: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +100 to -120
Millwall ML moved from +225 to +215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-109o2½-108o2½-105o2½-101o2½+100o2½-101o2½+100o2½+108
Underu2½-107u2½-108u2½-115u2½-119u2½-120u2½-119u2½-108u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+108
Under-----u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-150 to o2¾-105
The Under moved from u2½+109 to u2¼+130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.62%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.05%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.52%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 033.05%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 029.10%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 222.17%
Exactly 39.12%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.82%
Exactly 219.88%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 059.89%
Exactly 130.70%
Exactly 27.87%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 056.47%
Exactly 132.27%
Exactly 29.22%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals13.00%
Wins by 3+ goals3.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals17.03%
Wins by 3+ goals5.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Millwall
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal19.78%
Wins by 2 goals9.08%
Wins by 3 goals3.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal22.06%
Wins by 2 goals11.29%
Wins by 3 goals4.20%
Wins by 4 goals1.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.38%9.62%
1.567.86%32.14%
2.541.50%58.50%
3.520.92%79.08%
4.58.87%91.13%
5.53.23%96.77%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.95%33.05%
1.530.36%69.64%
2.510.10%89.90%
3.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.90%29.10%
1.534.98%65.02%
2.512.81%87.19%
3.53.68%96.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.18%33.82%
1.529.52%70.48%
2.59.64%90.36%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Millwall
Score012345
0
9.62%
11.87%
7.33%
3.01%
0.93%
0.23%
1
10.65%
13.14%
8.11%
3.34%
1.03%
0.25%
2
5.89%
7.28%
4.49%
1.85%
0.57%
0.14%
3
2.18%
2.69%
1.66%
0.68%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.60%
0.74%
0.46%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-010.65%
2-05.89%
2-17.28%
3-02.18%
3-12.69%
3-21.66%
4-00.60%
4-10.74%
4-20.46%
4-30.19%
5-00.13%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-09.62%
1-113.14%
2-24.49%
3-30.68%
Millwall
0-111.87%
0-27.33%
1-28.11%
0-33.01%
1-33.34%
2-31.85%
0-40.93%
1-41.03%
2-40.57%
3-40.21%
0-50.23%
1-50.25%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Millwall
Score01234
0
33.82%
19.33%
5.52%
1.05%
0.15%
1
17.34%
9.91%
2.83%
0.54%
0.08%
2
4.44%
2.54%
0.73%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.76%
0.43%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Southampton
1-017.34%
2-04.44%
2-12.54%
3-00.76%
3-10.43%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.82%
1-19.91%
2-20.73%
Millwall
0-119.33%
0-25.52%
1-22.83%
0-31.05%
1-30.54%
2-30.14%
0-40.15%
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