Millwall at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Millwall

33.7%28.3%38.0%
Millwall WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.20
2Final Score 0

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Swansea City+115
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+265
W 0-3 vs Rotherham United-145
L 3-0 vs Leeds United+235
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+220
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
T 1-1 at Hull City+290
W 2-6 vs Norwich City+235
L 1-4 at Bristol City+425
L 1-2 at Preston North End+260
W 0-3 vs Blackburn+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+157+177+165+151+151+151+177+170.8
Plymouth Argyle+172+153+155+156+156+156+156+176.2
Draw+254+252+235+245+245+245+252+272.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+160---+160+175+175+170.8
Plymouth Argyle+125---+125+150+150+176.2
Draw+235---+235+250+250+272.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +176 to +161
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +160 to +150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
No Steam Moves On Plymouth Argyle ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-127o2¾-102o2¾+101o2¾+101o2¾+101o2½-127o2¾+110
Underu2½+104u2½+109u2¾-118u2¾-121u2¾-121u2¾-121u2¾-118u2¾-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+110
Under-----u2¾-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.94%
Exactly 226.49%
Exactly 411.76%
Exactly 62.09%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.95%
Exactly 320.38%
Exactly 55.43%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 032.94%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 030.19%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.65%
Exactly 38.64%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.35%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 41.87%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 059.80%
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 27.91%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 057.44%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 28.83%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals13.41%
Wins by 3+ goals4.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals16.19%
Wins by 3+ goals5.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal20.21%
Wins by 2 goals9.34%
Wins by 3 goals3.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal21.79%
Wins by 2 goals10.87%
Wins by 3 goals3.93%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.06%9.94%
1.567.10%32.90%
2.540.61%59.39%
3.520.23%79.77%
4.58.47%91.53%
5.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.06%32.94%
1.530.49%69.51%
2.510.17%89.83%
3.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.81%30.19%
1.533.65%66.35%
2.512.00%88.00%
3.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.65%34.35%
1.528.95%71.05%
2.59.34%90.66%
3.52.35%97.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
9.94%
11.91%
7.13%
2.85%
0.85%
0.20%
1
11.04%
13.23%
7.92%
3.16%
0.95%
0.23%
2
6.13%
7.34%
4.40%
1.76%
0.53%
0.13%
3
2.27%
2.72%
1.63%
0.65%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.63%
0.75%
0.45%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-011.04%
2-06.13%
2-17.34%
3-02.27%
3-12.72%
3-21.63%
4-00.63%
4-10.75%
4-20.45%
4-30.18%
5-00.14%
5-10.17%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-09.94%
1-113.23%
2-24.40%
3-30.65%
Plymouth Argyle
0-111.91%
0-27.13%
1-27.92%
0-32.85%
1-33.16%
2-31.76%
0-40.85%
1-40.95%
2-40.53%
3-40.19%
0-50.20%
1-50.23%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Plymouth Argyle
Score01234
0
34.35%
19.04%
5.28%
0.98%
0.14%
1
17.66%
9.79%
2.71%
0.50%
0.07%
2
4.54%
2.52%
0.70%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.78%
0.43%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Millwall
1-017.66%
2-04.54%
2-12.52%
3-00.78%
3-10.43%
3-20.12%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-034.35%
1-19.79%
2-20.70%
Plymouth Argyle
0-119.04%
0-25.28%
1-22.71%
0-30.98%
1-30.50%
2-30.13%
0-40.14%
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