Millwall at Birmingham City

Updated

Millwall

36.9%29.6%33.5%
Millwall WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.04
1Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+150
L 1-3 at Norwich City+265
L 1-0 vs Bristol City-110
W 1-0 at Middlesbrough+260
L 4-3 vs Blackburn-115
Birmingham City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Plymouth Argyle-130
W 2-0 at Bristol City+230
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+245
T 1-1 at Swansea City+320
L 2-1 vs Sheffield United+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+215+214+205+189+189+189+214+212.6
Birmingham City+130+144+135+142+142+142+144+161.8
Draw+225+221+220+210+210+210+221+235.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+220---+185+220+220+212.6
Birmingham City+135---+125+140+140+161.8
Draw+220---+200+210+210+235.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 30.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +215 to +205
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 30.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +200 to +185
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-129o2-122o2-124o2-124o2-124o2-122o2-113
Underu2+102u2+109u2+102u2+104u2+104u2+104u2+109u2+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-113
Under-----u2+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.71%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.32%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.11%
Exactly 319.25%
Exactly 54.43%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 033.11%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.22%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 035.36%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.05%
Exactly 218.27%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 059.95%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 061.80%
Exactly 129.74%
Exactly 27.16%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals14.85%
Wins by 3+ goals4.53%
Wins by 4+ goals1.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals12.84%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal21.94%
Wins by 2 goals10.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal20.64%
Wins by 2 goals9.12%
Wins by 3 goals2.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.29%11.71%
1.563.18%36.82%
2.536.24%63.76%
3.516.99%83.01%
4.56.67%93.33%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.89%33.11%
1.530.29%69.71%
2.510.06%89.94%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.64%35.36%
1.527.88%72.12%
2.58.77%91.23%
3.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.95%37.05%
1.526.17%73.83%
2.57.90%92.10%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
11.71%
12.17%
6.33%
2.19%
0.57%
0.12%
1
12.94%
13.45%
6.99%
2.42%
0.63%
0.13%
2
7.15%
7.43%
3.86%
1.34%
0.35%
0.07%
3
2.63%
2.74%
1.42%
0.49%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.73%
0.76%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-012.94%
2-07.15%
2-17.43%
3-02.63%
3-12.74%
3-21.42%
4-00.73%
4-10.76%
4-20.39%
4-30.14%
5-00.16%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-011.71%
1-113.45%
2-23.86%
3-30.49%
Birmingham City
0-112.17%
0-26.33%
1-26.99%
0-32.19%
1-32.42%
2-31.34%
0-40.57%
1-40.63%
2-40.35%
3-40.13%
0-50.12%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
37.05%
17.83%
4.29%
0.69%
1
18.96%
9.12%
2.20%
0.35%
2
4.85%
2.33%
0.56%
0.09%
3
0.83%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-018.96%
2-04.85%
2-12.33%
3-00.83%
3-10.40%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-037.05%
1-19.12%
2-20.56%
Birmingham City
0-117.83%
0-24.29%
1-22.20%
0-30.69%
1-30.35%
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