Stoke City at Millwall

Updated

Stoke City

27.5%28.0%44.5%
Stoke City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.31
0Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Watford+120
L 0-2 at Ipswich Town+245
W 1-4 vs Rotherham United-150
L 0-2 at Watford+180
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-105
Millwall
Money Line
L 1-3 at Norwich City+265
L 1-0 vs Bristol City-110
W 1-0 at Middlesbrough+260
L 4-3 vs Blackburn-115
W 3-2 at Blackpool+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+270+199+190+178+216+178+216+199.6
Millwall+110+158+155+153+141+153+158+172.6
Draw+215+215+205+210+223+210+223+234.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+220---+185+200+200+199.6
Millwall+135---+130+150+150+172.6
Draw+220---+195+215+215+234.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 50.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +182 to +176
Millwall ML moved from +149 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 10.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +195 to +185
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108o2-139o2¼+102o2¼+101o2¼+104o2¼+101o2-139o2¼+110
Underu2¼-128u2+117u2¼-122u2¼-121u2¼-122u2¼-121u2¼-121u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.27%
Exactly 226.60%
Exactly 411.48%
Exactly 61.98%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.37%
Exactly 320.18%
Exactly 55.23%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 038.05%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.76%
Exactly 35.72%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 026.99%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 310.10%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.86%
Exactly 219.36%
Exactly 41.79%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 063.93%
Exactly 128.60%
Exactly 26.40%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 054.53%
Exactly 133.07%
Exactly 210.03%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals9.80%
Wins by 3+ goals2.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals20.47%
Wins by 3+ goals7.31%
Wins by 4+ goals2.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal17.68%
Wins by 2 goals7.16%
Wins by 3 goals2.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal23.96%
Wins by 2 goals13.16%
Wins by 3 goals5.23%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.73%10.27%
1.566.36%33.64%
2.539.76%60.24%
3.519.58%80.42%
4.58.10%91.90%
5.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.95%38.05%
1.525.19%74.81%
2.57.42%92.58%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.01%26.99%
1.537.66%62.34%
2.514.51%85.49%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.14%34.86%
1.528.40%71.60%
2.59.05%90.95%
3.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Millwall
Score012345
0
10.27%
13.45%
8.81%
3.84%
1.26%
0.33%
1
9.92%
13.00%
8.51%
3.72%
1.22%
0.32%
2
4.79%
6.28%
4.11%
1.80%
0.59%
0.15%
3
1.54%
2.02%
1.32%
0.58%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.37%
0.49%
0.32%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-09.92%
2-04.79%
2-16.28%
3-01.54%
3-12.02%
3-21.32%
4-00.37%
4-10.49%
4-20.32%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.27%
1-113.00%
2-24.11%
3-30.58%
Millwall
0-113.45%
0-28.81%
1-28.51%
0-33.84%
1-33.72%
2-31.80%
0-41.26%
1-41.22%
2-40.59%
3-40.19%
0-50.33%
1-50.32%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Millwall
Score01234
0
34.86%
21.14%
6.41%
1.30%
0.20%
1
15.60%
9.46%
2.87%
0.58%
0.09%
2
3.49%
2.12%
0.64%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.52%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-015.60%
2-03.49%
2-12.12%
3-00.52%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-034.86%
1-19.46%
2-20.64%
Millwall
0-121.14%
0-26.41%
1-22.87%
0-31.30%
1-30.58%
2-30.13%
0-40.20%
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