Watford at Stoke City

Updated

Watford

28.9%28.1%43.0%
Watford WinDrawStoke City Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.29
0Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Plymouth Argyle-145
W 0-4 vs Queens Park Rangers-115
W 0-2 vs Stoke City+145
T 2-2 at Sunderland+375
L 0-1 at Hull City+165
Stoke City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Ipswich Town+245
W 1-4 vs Rotherham United-150
L 0-2 at Watford+180
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-105
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+215+225+215+191+233+191+233+214.2
Stoke City+130+128+125+131+121+131+131+149.4
Draw+215+240+220+230+245+230+245+256.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+230---+190+220+220+214.2
Stoke City+120---+110+120+120+149.4
Draw+240---+225+250+250+256.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 40.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +205 to +199
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +230 to +215
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½+102o2½+105o2½-101o2½+100o2½-101o2½+105o2½+108
Underu2¼+102u2½-120u2½-125u2½-119u2½-118u2½-119u2½-118u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+108
Under-----u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.16%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.57%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.24%
Exactly 320.25%
Exactly 55.29%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 036.78%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.40%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 027.63%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 39.80%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.69%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 062.93%
Exactly 129.14%
Exactly 26.75%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 055.13%
Exactly 132.83%
Exactly 29.77%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.57%
Wins by 3+ goals2.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals19.48%
Wins by 3+ goals6.84%
Wins by 4+ goals1.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal18.27%
Wins by 2 goals7.65%
Wins by 3 goals2.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals12.64%
Wins by 3 goals4.92%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.84%10.16%
1.566.60%33.40%
2.540.03%59.97%
3.519.79%80.21%
4.58.22%91.78%
5.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.22%36.78%
1.526.43%73.57%
2.58.03%91.97%
3.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.37%27.63%
1.536.83%63.17%
2.513.97%86.03%
3.54.17%95.83%
4.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.31%34.69%
1.528.58%71.42%
2.59.14%90.86%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Stoke City
Score012345
0
10.16%
13.07%
8.41%
3.60%
1.16%
0.30%
1
10.17%
13.07%
8.41%
3.60%
1.16%
0.30%
2
5.08%
6.54%
4.20%
1.80%
0.58%
0.15%
3
1.70%
2.18%
1.40%
0.60%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.42%
0.55%
0.35%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Watford
1-010.17%
2-05.08%
2-16.54%
3-01.70%
3-12.18%
3-21.40%
4-00.42%
4-10.55%
4-20.35%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.16%
1-113.07%
2-24.20%
3-30.60%
Stoke City
0-113.07%
0-28.41%
1-28.41%
0-33.60%
1-33.60%
2-31.80%
0-41.16%
1-41.16%
2-40.58%
3-40.19%
0-50.30%
1-50.30%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Stoke City
Score01234
0
34.69%
20.66%
6.15%
1.22%
0.18%
1
16.07%
9.57%
2.85%
0.57%
0.08%
2
3.72%
2.22%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.57%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-016.07%
2-03.72%
2-12.22%
3-00.57%
3-10.34%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.69%
1-19.57%
2-20.66%
Stoke City
0-120.66%
0-26.15%
1-22.85%
0-31.22%
1-30.57%
2-30.13%
0-40.18%
Southampton at Plymouth Argyle
Huddersfield at Middlesbrough