Stoke City at Cardiff City

Updated

Stoke City

31.3%27.7%41.0%
Stoke City WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.28
1Final Score 1

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Wigan Athletic-180
L 2-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+120
T 0-0 at Birmingham City+110
L 2-1 vs Bristol City-175
W 4-0 at Coventry City+210
Cardiff City
Money Line
W 3-1 at Watford+290
L 1-4 at Sheffield United+565
L 1-0 vs Sunderland+145
W 3-1 at Blackpool+180
L 3-2 vs Swansea City+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+181+204+190+181+210+181+210+203.0
Cardiff City+166+154+150+147+153+147+154+166.3
Draw+225+215+220+215+224+215+224+239.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+175---+195+210+210+203.0
Cardiff City+125---+120+140+140+166.3
Draw+215---+200+220+220+239.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +210 to +204
Cardiff City ML moved from +158 to +151

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-142o2-129o2-122o2-119o2½+151o2-119o2¼+114o2-108
Underu2+120u2+109u2+102u2-101u2½-166u2-101u2½-147u2+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-108
Under-----u2+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.39%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 412.25%
Exactly 62.29%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.21%
Exactly 320.72%
Exactly 55.80%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 033.86%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.85%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 027.73%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 222.81%
Exactly 39.75%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 42.01%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 060.57%
Exactly 130.37%
Exactly 27.61%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 055.22%
Exactly 132.79%
Exactly 29.74%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.12%
Wins by 3+ goals3.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals18.38%
Wins by 3+ goals6.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal19.07%
Wins by 2 goals8.54%
Wins by 3 goals2.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal22.58%
Wins by 2 goals11.98%
Wins by 3 goals4.62%
Wins by 4 goals1.39%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.61%9.39%
1.568.40%31.60%
2.542.13%57.87%
3.521.41%78.59%
4.59.16%90.84%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.14%33.86%
1.529.47%70.53%
2.59.62%90.38%
3.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.27%27.73%
1.536.70%63.30%
2.513.89%86.11%
3.54.14%95.86%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.92%70.08%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
9.39%
12.04%
7.72%
3.30%
1.06%
0.27%
1
10.17%
13.04%
8.36%
3.58%
1.15%
0.29%
2
5.51%
7.06%
4.53%
1.94%
0.62%
0.16%
3
1.99%
2.55%
1.63%
0.70%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.54%
0.69%
0.44%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.15%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-010.17%
2-05.51%
2-17.06%
3-01.99%
3-12.55%
3-21.63%
4-00.54%
4-10.69%
4-20.44%
4-30.19%
5-00.12%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-09.39%
1-113.04%
2-24.53%
3-30.70%
Cardiff City
0-112.04%
0-27.72%
1-28.36%
0-33.30%
1-33.58%
2-31.94%
0-41.06%
1-41.15%
2-40.62%
3-40.22%
0-50.27%
1-50.29%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
33.45%
19.86%
5.90%
1.17%
0.17%
1
16.77%
9.96%
2.96%
0.59%
0.09%
2
4.20%
2.50%
0.74%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.70%
0.42%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-016.77%
2-04.20%
2-12.50%
3-00.70%
3-10.42%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.45%
1-19.96%
2-20.74%
Cardiff City
0-119.86%
0-25.90%
1-22.96%
0-31.17%
1-30.59%
2-30.15%
0-40.17%