Stoke City at Birmingham City

Updated

Stoke City

30.6%28.3%41.1%
Stoke City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.25
0Final Score 0

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Bristol City-175
W 4-0 at Coventry City+210
T 0-0 vs Norwich City+145
T 1-1 at Middlesbrough+400
W 5-1 at Sunderland+230
Birmingham City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Reading+165
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+155
W 1-0 at Queens Park Rangers+190
L 0-3 at Watford+350
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+160+110+110+104+107+104+110+121.9
Birmingham City+180+279+260+245+298+245+298+275.3
Draw+210+233+230+225+242+225+242+253.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+130----105+110+110+121.9
Birmingham City+225---+245+265+265+275.3
Draw+225---+210+230+230+253.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +114 to +100
Birmingham City ML moved from +255 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +130 to +115
Birmingham City ML moved from +265 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-137o2¼+105o2¼+100o2-133o2¼+100o2-133o2¼+109
Underu2¼-115u2+115u2¼-125u2¼-120u2+118u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.52%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.32%
Exactly 320.21%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.57%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.00%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 028.75%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.79%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 061.96%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 056.15%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 29.35%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals11.50%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals18.15%
Wins by 3+ goals6.20%
Wins by 4+ goals1.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal19.01%
Wins by 2 goals8.22%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal22.92%
Wins by 2 goals11.96%
Wins by 3 goals4.51%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.46%33.54%
2.539.87%60.13%
3.519.67%80.33%
4.58.15%91.85%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.43%35.57%
1.527.67%72.33%
2.58.66%91.34%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.25%28.75%
1.535.41%64.59%
2.513.07%86.93%
3.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.21%34.79%
1.528.47%71.53%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
10.23%
12.75%
7.94%
3.30%
1.03%
0.26%
1
10.57%
13.18%
8.21%
3.41%
1.06%
0.27%
2
5.46%
6.81%
4.24%
1.76%
0.55%
0.14%
3
1.88%
2.35%
1.46%
0.61%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.49%
0.61%
0.38%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-010.57%
2-05.46%
2-16.81%
3-01.88%
3-12.35%
3-21.46%
4-00.49%
4-10.61%
4-20.38%
4-30.16%
5-00.10%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-010.23%
1-113.18%
2-24.24%
3-30.61%
Birmingham City
0-112.75%
0-27.94%
1-28.21%
0-33.30%
1-33.41%
2-31.76%
0-41.03%
1-41.06%
2-40.55%
3-40.19%
0-50.26%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
34.79%
20.08%
5.79%
1.11%
0.16%
1
16.65%
9.61%
2.77%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.99%
2.30%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.64%
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-016.65%
2-03.99%
2-12.30%
3-00.64%
3-10.37%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.79%
1-19.61%
2-20.66%
Birmingham City
0-120.08%
0-25.79%
1-22.77%
0-31.11%
1-30.53%
2-30.13%
0-40.16%
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