Stoke City at Birmingham City

Updated

Stoke City

30.6%28.3%41.1%
Stoke City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.25
0Final Score 0

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Bristol City-175
W 4-0 at Coventry City+210
T 0-0 vs Norwich City+145
T 1-1 at Middlesbrough+400
W 5-1 at Sunderland+230
Birmingham City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Reading+165
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+155
W 1-0 at Queens Park Rangers+190
L 0-3 at Watford+350
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+160+110+110+104+107+104+110+121.9
Birmingham City+180+279+260+245+298+245+298+275.3
Draw+210+233+230+225+242+225+242+253.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+130----105+110+110+121.9
Birmingham City+225---+245+265+265+275.3
Draw+225---+210+230+230+253.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +114 to +100
Birmingham City ML moved from +255 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +130 to +115
Birmingham City ML moved from +265 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-137o2¼+105o2¼+100o2-133o2¼+100o2-133o2¼+109
Underu2¼-115u2+115u2¼-125u2¼-120u2+118u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.52%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.32%
Exactly 320.21%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.57%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.00%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 028.75%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.79%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 061.96%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 056.15%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 29.35%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals11.50%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals18.15%
Wins by 3+ goals6.20%
Wins by 4+ goals1.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal19.01%
Wins by 2 goals8.22%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal22.92%
Wins by 2 goals11.96%
Wins by 3 goals4.51%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.46%33.54%
2.539.87%60.13%
3.519.67%80.33%
4.58.15%91.85%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.43%35.57%
1.527.67%72.33%
2.58.66%91.34%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.25%28.75%
1.535.41%64.59%
2.513.07%86.93%
3.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.21%34.79%
1.528.47%71.53%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
10.23%
12.75%
7.94%
3.30%
1.03%
0.26%
1
10.57%
13.18%
8.21%
3.41%
1.06%
0.27%
2
5.46%
6.81%
4.24%
1.76%
0.55%
0.14%
3
1.88%
2.35%
1.46%
0.61%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.49%
0.61%
0.38%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-010.57%
2-05.46%
2-16.81%
3-01.88%
3-12.35%
3-21.46%
4-00.49%
4-10.61%
4-20.38%
4-30.16%
5-00.10%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-010.23%
1-113.18%
2-24.24%
3-30.61%
Birmingham City
0-112.75%
0-27.94%
1-28.21%
0-33.30%
1-33.41%
2-31.76%
0-41.03%
1-41.06%
2-40.55%
3-40.19%
0-50.26%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
34.79%
20.08%
5.79%
1.11%
0.16%
1
16.65%
9.61%
2.77%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.99%
2.30%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.64%
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-016.65%
2-03.99%
2-12.30%
3-00.64%
3-10.37%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.79%
1-19.61%
2-20.66%
Birmingham City
0-120.08%
0-25.79%
1-22.77%
0-31.11%
1-30.53%
2-30.13%
0-40.16%