Birmingham City at Watford

Updated

Birmingham City

17.3%23.1%59.6%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.77
0Final Score 3

Watford

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United+110
T 1-1 at Wigan Athletic+260
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+220
L 1-3 at Norwich City+455
L 1-2 at Huddersfield+175
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+100
T 0-0 vs Preston North End-130
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+350
W 2-3 vs West Bromwich Albion+175
T 1-1 at Burnley+440

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+400+330+320+310+344+310+344+349.2
Watford-145-102-110-110-103-110-102+109.2
Draw+265+229+235+205+241+205+241+234.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+360---+325+350+350+349.2
Watford-125----140-115-115+109.2
Draw+260---+225+240+240+234.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +315 to +305
Watford ML moved from -113 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +360 to +325
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2-109o2-108o2-109o2½+166o2-109o2-140o2+101
Underu2½-122u2-109u2-112u2-111u2½-181u2-111u2½-139u2-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+101
Under-----u2-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.40%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 414.17%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.26%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.38%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 043.42%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.11%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 017.03%
Exactly 130.15%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 315.74%
Exactly 46.97%
Exactly 52.47%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.95%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 067.96%
Exactly 126.25%
Exactly 25.07%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 044.06%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.80%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals5.33%
Wins by 3+ goals1.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals34.07%
Wins by 3+ goals15.62%
Wins by 4+ goals5.86%
Wins by 5+ goals1.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal11.99%
Wins by 2 goals4.10%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.45%
Wins by 2 goals18.45%
Wins by 3 goals9.76%
Wins by 4 goals4.04%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.60%7.40%
1.573.34%26.66%
2.548.26%51.74%
3.526.49%73.51%
4.512.32%87.68%
5.54.93%95.07%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.58%43.42%
1.520.35%79.65%
2.55.25%94.75%
3.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.97%17.03%
1.552.82%47.18%
2.526.14%73.86%
3.510.39%89.61%
4.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.05%29.95%
1.533.94%66.06%
2.512.18%87.82%
3.53.43%96.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Watford
Score012345
0
7.40%
13.09%
11.59%
6.84%
3.02%
1.07%
1
6.17%
10.92%
9.66%
5.70%
2.52%
0.89%
2
2.57%
4.55%
4.03%
2.38%
1.05%
0.37%
3
0.72%
1.27%
1.12%
0.66%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.15%
0.26%
0.23%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Birmingham City
1-06.17%
2-02.57%
2-14.55%
3-00.72%
3-11.27%
3-21.12%
4-00.15%
4-10.26%
4-20.23%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.40%
1-110.92%
2-24.03%
3-30.66%
Watford
0-113.09%
0-211.59%
1-29.66%
0-36.84%
1-35.70%
2-32.38%
0-43.02%
1-42.52%
2-41.05%
3-40.29%
0-51.07%
1-50.89%
2-50.37%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Watford
Score01234
0
29.95%
24.54%
10.06%
2.75%
0.56%
1
11.57%
9.48%
3.88%
1.06%
0.22%
2
2.23%
1.83%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.29%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Birmingham City
1-011.57%
2-02.23%
2-11.83%
3-00.29%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-029.95%
1-19.48%
2-20.75%
Watford
0-124.54%
0-210.06%
1-23.88%
0-32.75%
1-31.06%
2-30.20%
0-40.56%
1-40.22%
Sunderland at Norwich City
QPR at Blackpool