Luton Town at Birmingham City

Updated

Luton Town

32.0%28.3%39.7%
Luton Town WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 0

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Burnley+245
T 1-1 at Preston North End+165
T 1-1 at Coventry City+225
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+125
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+110
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 1-3 at Norwich City+455
L 1-2 at Huddersfield+175
L 2-0 vs Cardiff City+125
W 0-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+285
W 4-3 at Swansea City+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+156+134+135+117+126+117+135+136.2
Birmingham City+201+250+235+240+259+240+259+270.0
Draw+216+205+190+200+200+200+205+226.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+145---+125+145+145+136.2
Birmingham City+205---+200+220+220+270.0
Draw+220---+185+200+200+226.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +124 to +117
Birmingham City ML moved from +193 to +182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 30.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +155 to +145
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-136o2-115o2-115o2-111o2-111o2-111o2-111o2-101
Underu2+116u2-103u2-105u2-109u2-104u2-109u2-103u2+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-101
Under-----u2+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.09%
Exactly 226.54%
Exactly 411.64%
Exactly 62.04%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.14%
Exactly 320.29%
Exactly 55.34%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 034.35%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 029.36%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.57%
Exactly 219.50%
Exactly 41.83%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.90%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 060.97%
Exactly 130.17%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 056.70%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.13%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals12.34%
Wins by 3+ goals3.62%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals17.27%
Wins by 3+ goals5.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal19.55%
Wins by 2 goals8.72%
Wins by 3 goals2.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal22.43%
Wins by 2 goals11.47%
Wins by 3 goals4.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.91%10.09%
1.566.78%33.22%
2.540.24%59.76%
3.519.95%80.05%
4.58.31%91.69%
5.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.65%34.35%
1.528.94%71.06%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.64%29.36%
1.534.66%65.34%
2.512.61%87.39%
3.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.43%34.57%
1.528.71%71.29%
2.59.21%90.79%
3.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
10.09%
12.36%
7.57%
3.09%
0.95%
0.23%
1
10.78%
13.21%
8.09%
3.31%
1.01%
0.25%
2
5.76%
7.06%
4.32%
1.77%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.05%
2.51%
1.54%
0.63%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.55%
0.67%
0.41%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-010.78%
2-05.76%
2-17.06%
3-02.05%
3-12.51%
3-21.54%
4-00.55%
4-10.67%
4-20.41%
4-30.17%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-010.09%
1-113.21%
2-24.32%
3-30.63%
Birmingham City
0-112.36%
0-27.57%
1-28.09%
0-33.09%
1-33.31%
2-31.77%
0-40.95%
1-41.01%
2-40.54%
3-40.19%
0-50.23%
1-50.25%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
34.57%
19.62%
5.57%
1.05%
0.15%
1
17.10%
9.70%
2.75%
0.52%
0.07%
2
4.23%
2.40%
0.68%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.70%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-017.10%
2-04.23%
2-12.40%
3-00.70%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.57%
1-19.70%
2-20.68%
Birmingham City
0-119.62%
0-25.57%
1-22.75%
0-31.05%
1-30.52%
2-30.13%
0-40.15%
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